This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with term-limited Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy sidelined, recent primary polling drives trader consensus favoring Democrat Tom Begich at 35.5%, reflecting his leads in April surveys like Dittman Research (21%) and Alaska Survey Research (19.4%), amid a fragmented Republican field boasting over a dozen candidates. Bernadette Wilson trails at 24.5% on strong conservative appeal shown in head-to-head matchups (e.g., 46% vs. Begich's 54%), while Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (10.5%) and Attorney General Treg Taylor (10.1%) gain from legislative experience and fundraising. Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 advances contenders to a ranked-choice general election November 3, where undecided voters (up to 35%) and GOP consolidation could shift dynamics before the June 1 filing deadline.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with term-limited Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy sidelined, recent primary polling drives trader consensus favoring Democrat Tom Begich at 35.5%, reflecting his leads in April surveys like Dittman Research (21%) and Alaska Survey Research (19.4%), amid a fragmented Republican field boasting over a dozen candidates. Bernadette Wilson trails at 24.5% on strong conservative appeal shown in head-to-head matchups (e.g., 46% vs. Begich's 54%), while Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (10.5%) and Attorney General Treg Taylor (10.1%) gain from legislative experience and fundraising. Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 advances contenders to a ranked-choice general election November 3, where undecided voters (up to 35%) and GOP consolidation could shift dynamics before the June 1 filing deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
May 7 2026
Lt. Governor Nancy Dahlstrom publicly emphasizes campaign priorities including public safety, resource development, and job creation in gubernatorial race
Nancy Dahlstrom dips to 6%3%
Despite campaign messaging on key issues, market confidence in Dahlstrom’s winning chances declined to a low point, reflecting competitive dynamics.
May 4 2026
Rival Republican candidate Shelley Hughes announces running mate Blake Gettys, intensifying competition in the GOP field
While not directly about Bishop, this event increased competition, likely limiting Bishop's market gains.
Apr 30 2026
Alaska Republican Party District 6 endorses Dave Bronson among others for governor, citing alignment with party principles
David Bronson rises to 6%3%
The endorsement provided a modest boost by signaling party support in a key district late in the campaign.
Apr 23 2026
Pro-Bishop independent expenditure group "Pick Click and Greta for Alaska" forms with six-figure labor union backing, boosting campaign resources
Click Bishop rises to 10%4%
The organized labor support and funding injection improved Bishop's campaign viability, reflected in a
Apr 10 2026
Media coverage of Bishop-Schuerch ticket emphasizes cooperative spirit and focus on energy and budget challenges
Click Bishop plunges to 6%16%
Following initial enthusiasm, market corrected as voters assessed the crowded field and other candidates' moves.
Apr 8 2026
Click Bishop announces Greta Schuerch as his lieutenant governor running mate, highlighting energy and budget priorities
Click Bishop surges to 22%16%
The announcement of Schuerch, an Alaska Native leader and corporate board member, energized Bishop's campaign by broadening appeal and signaling a strategic partnership, causing a significant
Apr 6 2026
Bronson proposes to double Alaska Permanent Fund earnings – A policy‑focused op‑ed outlining an aggressive investment target for the Permanent Fund generated a short‑term rally as
David Bronson jumps to 14%12%
Bronson proposes to double Alaska Permanent Fund earnings – A policy‑focused op‑ed outlining an aggressive investment target for the Permanent Fund generated a short‑term rally as investors speculated on a high‑profile platform.
Apr 6 2026
Bronson proposes aggressively doubling Alaska Permanent Fund earnings to pay higher dividends and avoid new taxes, sparking debate over investment risks
David Bronson rises to 7%4%
This policy stance generated short-term market interest due to its boldness but also raised concerns about fiscal prudence.
Mar 27 2026
Local news notes a March 2025 fire that nearly destroyed Wilson’s waste‑management business, reminding voters of her “overcoming adversity” narrative and contributing to a brief
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 22%8%
Local news notes a March 2025 fire that nearly destroyed Wilson’s waste‑management business, reminding voters of her “overcoming adversity” narrative and contributing to a brief rebound
Mar 25 2026
Begich holds community meet and greet in Petersburg, highlighting coalition-building and dialogue-driven governance
Tom Begich rises to 28%3%
This event reinforced Begich’s image as a unifier and pragmatic leader, contributing to a.
Mar 18 2026
Polling from Dittman Research shows Tom Begich leading with fragmented Republican support;
Treg Taylor drops to 9%8%
Treg Taylor polling at about 5%, reflecting weak voter support despite fundraising
Mar 17 2026
Dahlstrom certifies proper filing of ballot initiative petition 25USCV, advancing the U.S. citizen voting requirement initiative
Nancy Dahlstrom rises to 14%1%
Renewed certification of the citizenship voting initiative kept Dahlstrom in the election law spotlight, slightly improving market sentiment.
Feb 11 2026
Lt. Governor certifies proper filing of ballot initiative petition 24ESEG after signature verification, confirming its ballot placement
Nancy Dahlstrom rises to 21%3%
Confirmation of the initiative’s ballot status reinforced Dahlstrom’s influence on election reform, causing a modest
Jan 15 2026
Bronson selects Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as running mate – The announcement of a lieutenant‑governor pick from the Interior gave Bronson geographic balance and a
David Bronson jumps to 9%7%
Bronson selects Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as running mate – The announcement of a lieutenant‑governor pick from the Interior gave Bronson geographic balance and a modest
Jan 14 2026
Dave Bronson announces Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as his running mate, emphasizing election security and partnership in governance
David Bronson jumps to 8%5%
The selection of Church, a financial planner with Interior Alaska ties, aimed to broaden Bronson’s appeal and address regional concerns, causing a temporary
Jan 10 2026
Click Bishop participates in Alaska Young Republicans State Convention, engaging with voters and highlighting political experience
Bishop's presence at the convention helped maintain his visibility among Republican voters, though the crowded field limited significant
Dec 31 2025
Dahlstrom certifies proper filing of ballot initiative petition 24ESEG to repeal Alaska’s top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system
Nancy Dahlstrom rises to 25%3%
This high-profile election reform initiative certification signaled Dahlstrom’s alignment with conservative election changes, briefly lifting market optimism.
Dec 23 2025
Lt. Governor Dahlstrom submits Alaska voter registration list to U.S. Department of Justice, underscoring election oversight responsibilities
This administrative action maintained her profile in election administration without significant market impact.
Dec 11 2025
Tom Begich responds critically to Governor Dunleavy’s early release of FY2027 budget, calling for responsible fiscal planning
Tom Begich rises to 24%4%
Begich's public critique of the budget highlighted his fiscal responsibility stance and differentiated him from the incumbent, improving his market perception.
Dec 10 2025
Tom Begich visits Bethel on campaign trail, focusing on rural Alaska, climate change, and education issues
Tom Begich rises to 23%3%
Begich's outreach to rural communities and emphasis on climate adaptation and education resonated with key constituencies, contributing to a modest.
Nov 14 2025
Tom Begich publicly states he would defer to Mary Peltola if she enters the governor's race, signaling party unity
Tom Begich jumps to 17%7%
This statement reassured Democratic voters about avoiding a divisive primary, boosting Begich's support as he positioned himself as a loyal party player.
Nov 8 2025
Fundraising reports show Treg Taylor raised $880,000, ranking as the No.
2 fundraiser in the race, indicating strong financial backing but limited grassroots support
Nov 8 2025
Report highlights crowded GOP field and weak fundraising for Bronson – An Anchorage Daily News story noting that Bronson lagged in fundraising amid a dozen Republican candidates
David Bronson plunges to 2%28%
Report highlights crowded GOP field and weak fundraising for Bronson – An Anchorage Daily News story noting that Bronson lagged in fundraising amid a dozen Republican candidates caused the market to dump his odds sharply.
Oct 13 2025
Former Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson officially launches gubernatorial campaign with statewide rollout, introducing himself as a new Republican contender in the crowded race
David Bronson plunges to 2%48%
This event marked the initial surge in market interest for Bronson, as he entered the race and gained early attention.
Oct 7 2025
Media coverage highlights Dahlstrom’s certification of U.S. citizen voting requirement initiative, emphasizing her election law focus
Nancy Dahlstrom drops to 22%7%
Public scrutiny and debate over the initiative’s implications may have tempered enthusiasm, contributing to a
Oct 3 2025
Lt. Governor Nancy Dahlstrom certifies ballot initiative 25USCV requiring only U.S. citizens to vote in Alaska elections
Nancy Dahlstrom jumps to 29%8%
Certification of this voting eligibility initiative demonstrated Dahlstrom’s active role in election law issues, briefly boosting market confidence.
Oct 2 2025
Bronson officially launches gubernatorial campaign with statewide rollout – The announcement that former Anchorage mayor Dave Bronson was entering the 2026 governor’s race
David Bronson plunges to 30%20%
Bronson officially launches gubernatorial campaign with statewide rollout – The announcement that former Anchorage mayor Dave Bronson was entering the 2026 governor’s race introduced a new Republican contender, prompting an initial surge in his “Yes”
Aug 18 2025
Former state senator Tom Begich announces run for Alaska governor, emphasizing education funding and raising state revenues through corporate tax reforms
Tom Begich plunges to 10%40%
Begich's announcement as the first Democrat in a crowded field introduced his platform but faced initial skepticism reflected in a sharp.
May 5 2025
Nancy Dahlstrom files letter of intent to run for Alaska governor, officially entering the 2026 race
Nancy Dahlstrom plunges to 21%29%
This formal step marked Dahlstrom’s transition from lieutenant governor to gubernatorial candidate, initiating market reassessment of her chances.
May 5 2025
Click Bishop files letter of intent to run for governor, officially entering the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race
Bishop's formal entry into the race marked the start of his campaign, initially maintaining market interest at around 50% before subsequent declines as the field expanded.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with term-limited Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy sidelined, recent primary polling drives trader consensus favoring Democrat Tom Begich at 35.5%, reflecting his leads in April surveys like Dittman Research (21%) and Alaska Survey Research (19.4%), amid a fragmented Republican field boasting over a dozen candidates. Bernadette Wilson trails at 24.5% on strong conservative appeal shown in head-to-head matchups (e.g., 46% vs. Begich's 54%), while Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (10.5%) and Attorney General Treg Taylor (10.1%) gain from legislative experience and fundraising. Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 advances contenders to a ranked-choice general election November 3, where undecided voters (up to 35%) and GOP consolidation could shift dynamics before the June 1 filing deadline.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with term-limited Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy sidelined, recent primary polling drives trader consensus favoring Democrat Tom Begich at 35.5%, reflecting his leads in April surveys like Dittman Research (21%) and Alaska Survey Research (19.4%), amid a fragmented Republican field boasting over a dozen candidates. Bernadette Wilson trails at 24.5% on strong conservative appeal shown in head-to-head matchups (e.g., 46% vs. Begich's 54%), while Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (10.5%) and Attorney General Treg Taylor (10.1%) gain from legislative experience and fundraising. Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 advances contenders to a ranked-choice general election November 3, where undecided voters (up to 35%) and GOP consolidation could shift dynamics before the June 1 filing deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
May 7 2026
Lt. Governor Nancy Dahlstrom publicly emphasizes campaign priorities including public safety, resource development, and job creation in gubernatorial race
Nancy Dahlstrom dips to 6%3%
Despite campaign messaging on key issues, market confidence in Dahlstrom’s winning chances declined to a low point, reflecting competitive dynamics.
May 4 2026
Rival Republican candidate Shelley Hughes announces running mate Blake Gettys, intensifying competition in the GOP field
While not directly about Bishop, this event increased competition, likely limiting Bishop's market gains.
Apr 30 2026
Alaska Republican Party District 6 endorses Dave Bronson among others for governor, citing alignment with party principles
David Bronson rises to 6%3%
The endorsement provided a modest boost by signaling party support in a key district late in the campaign.
Apr 23 2026
Pro-Bishop independent expenditure group "Pick Click and Greta for Alaska" forms with six-figure labor union backing, boosting campaign resources
Click Bishop rises to 10%4%
The organized labor support and funding injection improved Bishop's campaign viability, reflected in a
Apr 10 2026
Media coverage of Bishop-Schuerch ticket emphasizes cooperative spirit and focus on energy and budget challenges
Click Bishop plunges to 6%16%
Following initial enthusiasm, market corrected as voters assessed the crowded field and other candidates' moves.
Apr 8 2026
Click Bishop announces Greta Schuerch as his lieutenant governor running mate, highlighting energy and budget priorities
Click Bishop surges to 22%16%
The announcement of Schuerch, an Alaska Native leader and corporate board member, energized Bishop's campaign by broadening appeal and signaling a strategic partnership, causing a significant
Apr 6 2026
Bronson proposes to double Alaska Permanent Fund earnings – A policy‑focused op‑ed outlining an aggressive investment target for the Permanent Fund generated a short‑term rally as
David Bronson jumps to 14%12%
Bronson proposes to double Alaska Permanent Fund earnings – A policy‑focused op‑ed outlining an aggressive investment target for the Permanent Fund generated a short‑term rally as investors speculated on a high‑profile platform.
Apr 6 2026
Bronson proposes aggressively doubling Alaska Permanent Fund earnings to pay higher dividends and avoid new taxes, sparking debate over investment risks
David Bronson rises to 7%4%
This policy stance generated short-term market interest due to its boldness but also raised concerns about fiscal prudence.
Mar 27 2026
Local news notes a March 2025 fire that nearly destroyed Wilson’s waste‑management business, reminding voters of her “overcoming adversity” narrative and contributing to a brief
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 22%8%
Local news notes a March 2025 fire that nearly destroyed Wilson’s waste‑management business, reminding voters of her “overcoming adversity” narrative and contributing to a brief rebound
Mar 25 2026
Begich holds community meet and greet in Petersburg, highlighting coalition-building and dialogue-driven governance
Tom Begich rises to 28%3%
This event reinforced Begich’s image as a unifier and pragmatic leader, contributing to a.
Mar 18 2026
Polling from Dittman Research shows Tom Begich leading with fragmented Republican support;
Treg Taylor drops to 9%8%
Treg Taylor polling at about 5%, reflecting weak voter support despite fundraising
Mar 17 2026
Dahlstrom certifies proper filing of ballot initiative petition 25USCV, advancing the U.S. citizen voting requirement initiative
Nancy Dahlstrom rises to 14%1%
Renewed certification of the citizenship voting initiative kept Dahlstrom in the election law spotlight, slightly improving market sentiment.
Feb 11 2026
Lt. Governor certifies proper filing of ballot initiative petition 24ESEG after signature verification, confirming its ballot placement
Nancy Dahlstrom rises to 21%3%
Confirmation of the initiative’s ballot status reinforced Dahlstrom’s influence on election reform, causing a modest
Jan 15 2026
Bronson selects Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as running mate – The announcement of a lieutenant‑governor pick from the Interior gave Bronson geographic balance and a
David Bronson jumps to 9%7%
Bronson selects Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as running mate – The announcement of a lieutenant‑governor pick from the Interior gave Bronson geographic balance and a modest
Jan 14 2026
Dave Bronson announces Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as his running mate, emphasizing election security and partnership in governance
David Bronson jumps to 8%5%
The selection of Church, a financial planner with Interior Alaska ties, aimed to broaden Bronson’s appeal and address regional concerns, causing a temporary
Jan 10 2026
Click Bishop participates in Alaska Young Republicans State Convention, engaging with voters and highlighting political experience
Bishop's presence at the convention helped maintain his visibility among Republican voters, though the crowded field limited significant
Dec 31 2025
Dahlstrom certifies proper filing of ballot initiative petition 24ESEG to repeal Alaska’s top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system
Nancy Dahlstrom rises to 25%3%
This high-profile election reform initiative certification signaled Dahlstrom’s alignment with conservative election changes, briefly lifting market optimism.
Dec 23 2025
Lt. Governor Dahlstrom submits Alaska voter registration list to U.S. Department of Justice, underscoring election oversight responsibilities
This administrative action maintained her profile in election administration without significant market impact.
Dec 11 2025
Tom Begich responds critically to Governor Dunleavy’s early release of FY2027 budget, calling for responsible fiscal planning
Tom Begich rises to 24%4%
Begich's public critique of the budget highlighted his fiscal responsibility stance and differentiated him from the incumbent, improving his market perception.
Dec 10 2025
Tom Begich visits Bethel on campaign trail, focusing on rural Alaska, climate change, and education issues
Tom Begich rises to 23%3%
Begich's outreach to rural communities and emphasis on climate adaptation and education resonated with key constituencies, contributing to a modest.
Nov 14 2025
Tom Begich publicly states he would defer to Mary Peltola if she enters the governor's race, signaling party unity
Tom Begich jumps to 17%7%
This statement reassured Democratic voters about avoiding a divisive primary, boosting Begich's support as he positioned himself as a loyal party player.
Nov 8 2025
Fundraising reports show Treg Taylor raised $880,000, ranking as the No.
2 fundraiser in the race, indicating strong financial backing but limited grassroots support
Nov 8 2025
Report highlights crowded GOP field and weak fundraising for Bronson – An Anchorage Daily News story noting that Bronson lagged in fundraising amid a dozen Republican candidates
David Bronson plunges to 2%28%
Report highlights crowded GOP field and weak fundraising for Bronson – An Anchorage Daily News story noting that Bronson lagged in fundraising amid a dozen Republican candidates caused the market to dump his odds sharply.
Oct 13 2025
Former Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson officially launches gubernatorial campaign with statewide rollout, introducing himself as a new Republican contender in the crowded race
David Bronson plunges to 2%48%
This event marked the initial surge in market interest for Bronson, as he entered the race and gained early attention.
Oct 7 2025
Media coverage highlights Dahlstrom’s certification of U.S. citizen voting requirement initiative, emphasizing her election law focus
Nancy Dahlstrom drops to 22%7%
Public scrutiny and debate over the initiative’s implications may have tempered enthusiasm, contributing to a
Oct 3 2025
Lt. Governor Nancy Dahlstrom certifies ballot initiative 25USCV requiring only U.S. citizens to vote in Alaska elections
Nancy Dahlstrom jumps to 29%8%
Certification of this voting eligibility initiative demonstrated Dahlstrom’s active role in election law issues, briefly boosting market confidence.
Oct 2 2025
Bronson officially launches gubernatorial campaign with statewide rollout – The announcement that former Anchorage mayor Dave Bronson was entering the 2026 governor’s race
David Bronson plunges to 30%20%
Bronson officially launches gubernatorial campaign with statewide rollout – The announcement that former Anchorage mayor Dave Bronson was entering the 2026 governor’s race introduced a new Republican contender, prompting an initial surge in his “Yes”
Aug 18 2025
Former state senator Tom Begich announces run for Alaska governor, emphasizing education funding and raising state revenues through corporate tax reforms
Tom Begich plunges to 10%40%
Begich's announcement as the first Democrat in a crowded field introduced his platform but faced initial skepticism reflected in a sharp.
May 5 2025
Nancy Dahlstrom files letter of intent to run for Alaska governor, officially entering the 2026 race
Nancy Dahlstrom plunges to 21%29%
This formal step marked Dahlstrom’s transition from lieutenant governor to gubernatorial candidate, initiating market reassessment of her chances.
May 5 2025
Click Bishop files letter of intent to run for governor, officially entering the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race
Bishop's formal entry into the race marked the start of his campaign, initially maintaining market interest at around 50% before subsequent declines as the field expanded.
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Questions fréquentes
« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 17 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Tom Begich » à 36%, suivi de « Bernadette Wilson » à 25%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 36¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.
À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska » a généré $968.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 13, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.
Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska », parcourez les 17 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.
Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska » est « Tom Begich » à 36%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Bernadette Wilson » à 25%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.
Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.
Oui. Vous n'avez pas besoin de trader pour rester informé. Cette page sert de suivi en direct pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska ». Les probabilités des résultats sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que de nouvelles transactions arrivent. Vous pouvez ajouter cette page à vos favoris et consulter la section commentaires pour voir ce que disent les autres traders. Vous pouvez également utiliser les filtres de plage temporelle sur le graphique pour voir comment les cotes ont évolué au fil du temps.
Les cotes de Polymarket sont fixées par de vrais traders qui mettent de l'argent réel derrière leurs convictions, ce qui tend à produire des prédictions précises. Avec $968.2K échangés sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska », ces prix agrègent les connaissances collectives et la conviction de milliers de participants — surpassant souvent les sondages, les prévisions d’experts et les enquêtes traditionnelles. Les marchés de prédiction comme Polymarket ont un solide historique de précision, surtout à mesure que les événements approchent de leur date de résolution. Par exemple, Polymarket a un score de précision sur un mois de 94%. Pour les dernières statistiques sur la précision des prédictions de Polymarket, visitez la page de précision sur Polymarket.
Pour placer votre première transaction sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska », inscrivez-vous pour un compte Polymarket gratuit et approvisionnez-le en utilisant des cryptomonnaies, une carte de crédit ou débit, ou un virement bancaire. Une fois votre compte approvisionné, revenez sur cette page, sélectionnez le résultat sur lequel vous souhaitez trader, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous êtes nouveau dans les marchés de prédiction, cliquez sur le lien « Comment ça marche » en haut de n'importe quelle page Polymarket pour un guide étape par étape.
Sur Polymarket, le prix de chaque résultat représente la probabilité implicite du marché. Un prix de 36¢ pour « Tom Begich » sur le marché « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska » signifie que les traders estiment collectivement qu'il y a environ une probabilité de 36% que « Tom Begich » sera le résultat correct. Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » à 36¢ et que le résultat est correct, vous recevez $1,00 par part — un gain de 64¢ par part. S'il est incorrect, ces parts valent $0.
Le marché « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska » est prévu pour être résolu autour du Nov 3, 2026. Cela signifie que le trading restera ouvert et les cotes continueront d'évoluer jusqu'à cette date. Le moment exact de la résolution dépend de la disponibilité du résultat officiel, comme décrit dans la section « Règles ».
Le marché « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska » a été récemment créé. Soyez l'un des premiers à partager votre analyse en postant un commentaire ci-dessous, ou revenez plus tard. Vous pouvez également consulter l'onglet « Activité » pour un flux en temps réel des transactions récentes.
Polymarket est le plus grand marché de prédiction au monde, où vous pouvez rester informé et profiter de vos connaissances sur les événements du monde réel. Les traders achètent et vendent des parts sur des résultats allant de la politique et des élections aux cryptomonnaies, finances, sports, technologie et culture, y compris des marchés comme « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska ». Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel soutenues par une conviction financière, fournissant souvent des signaux plus rapides et plus précis que les sondages, les commentateurs ou les enquêtes traditionnelles.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
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Questions fréquentes