Santiago Matías, known as Alofoke, recently announced on July 22, 2026, that he will launch his own political party aimed at the 2028 Dominican elections after rejecting overtures from established groups like the PRSC. This direct confirmation from the influential media personality and businessman has anchored trader consensus around the 69.5% implied probability for formation by June 30, 2027. Key supporting factors include his stated plans to collect the required signatures for Junta Central Electoral recognition and his track record building large public followings through urban media and entertainment platforms. Upcoming catalysts such as signature drives and official filings could further shift momentum, though bureaucratic hurdles and the need for sustained grassroots support introduce realistic uncertainty into the timeline.