Omar Aziz (PSD) holds an overwhelming lead in the Amazonas governor runoff scheduled for October 25, as multiple late-October polls show him capturing 53-61% of valid votes against Professora Maria do Carmo (PL). Aziz finished first in the October 4 first round with 40.63% statewide, dominating interior municipalities, while Carmo placed second at 24.49% and led only in Manaus. Recent surveys from Pontual and Projeta confirm Aziz’s advantage widening outside the capital to as much as 42 points, bolstered by his prior governorship (2010-2014), Senate tenure, and alignment with President Lula’s coalition. Carmo, contesting her first elected office and backed by PL allies, trails despite gains in the capital. Trader consensus prices Aziz near 88% to win, consistent with the consistent polling gap and the absence of other viable contenders.