António Guterres has publicly committed to serving through the end of his second term on December 31, 2026, stating in early 2026 addresses that he intends to make every day of his final year count amid UN reform and global priorities. The standard successor selection process, initiated in late 2025 with candidate hearings underway, follows established diplomatic timelines without early departure triggers such as Security Council pressure, scandals, or resignation signals. Guterres continues active duties, including recent international forums, while the absence of funding crises or geopolitical escalations forcing an abrupt exit reinforces trader consensus that the implied probability favors completion of his mandate absent unforeseen late developments.