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Politique·Brésil

La STF Justice brésilienne a-t-elle été révoquée par mise en accusation avant 2027 ?

icon for La STF Justice brésilienne a-t-elle été révoquée par mise en accusation avant 2027 ?
Politique·Brésil

La STF Justice brésilienne a-t-elle été révoquée par mise en accusation avant 2027 ?

Oui

8% chance
Polymarket

$70,813 Vol.

Oui

8% chance
Polymarket

$70,813 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count. Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senate leadership has consistently declined to advance any of the multiple impeachment petitions filed against STF justices, including those targeting Alexandre de Moraes and recommendations from the April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report on the Banco Master scandal that named Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and de Moraes. A December 2025 monocratic ruling by Mendes further raised procedural barriers by limiting initiation to the prosecutor general and requiring a two-thirds Senate majority for proceedings to begin. These high constitutional thresholds have never produced a removal since the court’s creation, and no scheduled votes or committee reviews are underway ahead of the 2026 elections. Traders therefore assign a 94 percent implied probability that no STF justice will be impeached and removed before 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.

Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$70,813
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count. Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count. Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senate leadership has consistently declined to advance any of the multiple impeachment petitions filed against STF justices, including those targeting Alexandre de Moraes and recommendations from the April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report on the Banco Master scandal that named Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and de Moraes. A December 2025 monocratic ruling by Mendes further raised procedural barriers by limiting initiation to the prosecutor general and requiring a two-thirds Senate majority for proceedings to begin. These high constitutional thresholds have never produced a removal since the court’s creation, and no scheduled votes or committee reviews are underway ahead of the 2026 elections. Traders therefore assign a 94 percent implied probability that no STF justice will be impeached and removed before 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.

Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$70,813
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count. Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« La STF Justice brésilienne a-t-elle été révoquée par mise en accusation avant 2027 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Un juge du STF brésilien a-t-il été destitué par impeachment avant 2027 ? » à 8%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 8¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 8% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « La STF Justice brésilienne a-t-elle été révoquée par mise en accusation avant 2027 ? » a généré $70.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 8, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « La STF Justice brésilienne a-t-elle été révoquée par mise en accusation avant 2027 ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « La STF Justice brésilienne a-t-elle été révoquée par mise en accusation avant 2027 ? » est « Un juge du STF brésilien a-t-il été destitué par impeachment avant 2027 ? » à seulement 8%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La STF Justice brésilienne a-t-elle été révoquée par mise en accusation avant 2027 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.