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Politique·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale d'Arequipa

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection municipale d'Arequipa
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale d'Arequipa

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna 32%

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga 31%

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera 29%

José Miguel Briones Silva 28%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna 32%

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga 31%

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera 29%

José Miguel Briones Silva 28%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna

$67 Vol.

32%

icon for Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga

$67 Vol.

22%

icon for Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera

$67 Vol.

22%

icon for José Miguel Briones Silva

José Miguel Briones Silva

$67 Vol.

28%

icon for Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar

Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar

$67 Vol.

26%

icon for Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama

Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama

$67 Vol.

22%

icon for Isidro Flores Sosa

Isidro Flores Sosa

$67 Vol.

15%

icon for Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres

Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres

$99 Vol.

9%

icon for Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera

$69 Vol.

9%

icon for Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez

Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez

$67 Vol.

7%

icon for Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal

$77 Vol.

7%

icon for Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto

Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto

$67 Vol.

7%

icon for Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta

Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta

$67 Vol.

7%

icon for Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias

Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias

$87 Vol.

6%

icon for Alfredo Álvarez Díaz

Alfredo Álvarez Díaz

$67 Vol.

5%

icon for Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe

Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe

$67 Vol.

9%

icon for Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes

$67 Vol.

11%

icon for Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy

Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy

$67 Vol.

1%

icon for Lizbeth Zavala Vilca

Lizbeth Zavala Vilca

$67 Vol.

27%

icon for Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa

$87 Vol.

37%

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).A crowded field of more than two dozen registered candidates for Arequipa's October 4, 2026 mayoral election has produced closely matched trader odds, with Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa leading at 36% followed by Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna at 31.5% and several others in the 20-30% range. Official candidate lists published by Peru's JNE and ongoing local polling reflect fragmented support across regional movements focused on infrastructure, water management, and economic priorities in the province. With no dominant frontrunner emerging in recent months, the wisdom of crowds captured in current pricing highlights uncertainty over which contender can consolidate backing before election day. Scheduled debates, late endorsements, or shifts in turnout among key districts could quickly alter relative probabilities in this multi-candidate contest.

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$1,424
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).A crowded field of more than two dozen registered candidates for Arequipa's October 4, 2026 mayoral election has produced closely matched trader odds, with Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa leading at 36% followed by Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna at 31.5% and several others in the 20-30% range. Official candidate lists published by Peru's JNE and ongoing local polling reflect fragmented support across regional movements focused on infrastructure, water management, and economic priorities in the province. With no dominant frontrunner emerging in recent months, the wisdom of crowds captured in current pricing highlights uncertainty over which contender can consolidate backing before election day. Scheduled debates, late endorsements, or shifts in turnout among key districts could quickly alter relative probabilities in this multi-candidate contest.

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$1,424
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Connexes

icon for Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca va-t-il gagner les prochaines élections municipales de Lima ?

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca va-t-il gagner les prochaines élections municipales de Lima ?

31%
Oui
icon for William Peña Farfán remportera-t-il les prochaines élections municipales de Cusco ?

William Peña Farfán remportera-t-il les prochaines élections municipales de Cusco ?

47%
Oui
icon for Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera remportera-t-il les prochaines élections municipales de Trujillo ?

Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera remportera-t-il les prochaines élections municipales de Trujillo ?

40%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale d'Arequipa » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 20 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa » à 37%, suivi de « Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna » à 32%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 37¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale d'Arequipa » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 12, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale d'Arequipa », parcourez les 20 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale d'Arequipa » est « Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa » à 37%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna » à 32%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale d'Arequipa » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.