Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton secured the nomination easily in the March primaries and faces Democrat Hallie Shoffner in the November general election for Arkansas's U.S. Senate seat. The state's consistent Republican voting patterns, including strong margins in recent presidential and statewide contests, underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome. Cotton's established record in the Senate and limited primary opposition have reinforced this positioning, while Democratic challengers have historically struggled to expand support beyond core bases. A narrow July poll showed a closer margin, but broader nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, unexpected health event for the incumbent, or unusually large national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though structural factors in the state limit realistic shifts before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Arkansas
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Arkansas
$13,754 Vol.
$13,754 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
94%
Démocrate
4%
$13,754 Vol.
$13,754 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
$9,987 Vol.
94%
Démocrate
$3,767 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton secured the nomination easily in the March primaries and faces Democrat Hallie Shoffner in the November general election for Arkansas's U.S. Senate seat. The state's consistent Republican voting patterns, including strong margins in recent presidential and statewide contests, underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome. Cotton's established record in the Senate and limited primary opposition have reinforced this positioning, while Democratic challengers have historically struggled to expand support beyond core bases. A narrow July poll showed a closer margin, but broader nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, unexpected health event for the incumbent, or unusually large national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though structural factors in the state limit realistic shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$13,754Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton secured the nomination easily in the March primaries and faces Democrat Hallie Shoffner in the November general election for Arkansas's U.S. Senate seat. The state's consistent Republican voting patterns, including strong margins in recent presidential and statewide contests, underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome. Cotton's established record in the Senate and limited primary opposition have reinforced this positioning, while Democratic challengers have historically struggled to expand support beyond core bases. A narrow July poll showed a closer margin, but broader nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, unexpected health event for the incumbent, or unusually large national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though structural factors in the state limit realistic shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$13,754Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton secured the nomination easily in the March primaries and faces Democrat Hallie Shoffner in the November general election for Arkansas's U.S. Senate seat. The state's consistent Republican voting patterns, including strong margins in recent presidential and statewide contests, underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome. Cotton's established record in the Senate and limited primary opposition have reinforced this positioning, while Democratic challengers have historically struggled to expand support beyond core bases. A narrow July poll showed a closer margin, but broader nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, unexpected health event for the incumbent, or unusually large national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though structural factors in the state limit realistic shifts before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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