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Politique·Mexique

Baja California Governor Election Winner

icon for Baja California Governor Election Winner
Politique·Mexique

Baja California Governor Election Winner

Julieta Ramírez Padilla 41%

Ana Daniela García Salgado 40%

Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros 39%

Armando Ayala Robles 39%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Julieta Ramírez Padilla 41%

Ana Daniela García Salgado 40%

Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros 39%

Armando Ayala Robles 39%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Julieta Ramírez Padilla

Julieta Ramírez Padilla

$61 Vol.

41%

icon for Ana Daniela García Salgado

Ana Daniela García Salgado

$61 Vol.

40%

icon for Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros

Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros

$61 Vol.

39%

icon for Armando Ayala Robles

Armando Ayala Robles

$61 Vol.

39%

icon for Jorge Ramos Hernández

Jorge Ramos Hernández

$61 Vol.

39%

icon for Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega

Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega

$61 Vol.

39%

icon for Montserrat Caballero Ramírez

Montserrat Caballero Ramírez

$61 Vol.

39%

icon for Gustavo Macalpin

Gustavo Macalpin

$61 Vol.

39%

icon for Gustavo de Hoyos Walther

Gustavo de Hoyos Walther

$61 Vol.

39%

icon for Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe

Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe

$61 Vol.

38%

icon for Daylín García Ruvalcaba

Daylín García Ruvalcaba

$61 Vol.

38%

icon for Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas

Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas

$61 Vol.

38%

icon for Juan Carlos Hank

Juan Carlos Hank

$61 Vol.

38%

icon for Fernando Castro Trenti

Fernando Castro Trenti

$61 Vol.

37%

icon for Víctor Galicia

Víctor Galicia

$61 Vol.

35%

icon for Karla Ruiz Macfarland

Karla Ruiz Macfarland

$61 Vol.

35%

icon for Gina Cruz Blackledge

Gina Cruz Blackledge

$61 Vol.

35%

icon for Héctor Osuna Jaime

Héctor Osuna Jaime

$61 Vol.

28%

icon for Ismael Burgueño Ruiz

Ismael Burgueño Ruiz

$61 Vol.

41%

icon for Evangelina Moreno Guerra

Evangelina Moreno Guerra

$61 Vol.

36%

icon for Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso

Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso

$61 Vol.

40%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Baja California's 2027 gubernatorial contest remains wide open, with no candidate exceeding low-40s implied probability amid a crowded field of mostly Morena-linked contenders. Internal party registration of nine aspirants and early polling showing Tijuana Mayor Ismael Burgueño Ruiz ahead within Morena at roughly 29% have kept the race fragmented, as voters and traders weigh local executive experience, factional balances, and security or economic priorities. Incumbent term limits and the party's recent statewide dominance amplify the nomination's weight, yet limited public polling and ongoing coalition negotiations prevent any decisive separation. Key upcoming catalysts include further internal surveys, party coordination announcements, and potential endorsements that could consolidate support ahead of the general ballot.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,281
Date de fin
6 juin 2027
Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Baja California's 2027 gubernatorial contest remains wide open, with no candidate exceeding low-40s implied probability amid a crowded field of mostly Morena-linked contenders. Internal party registration of nine aspirants and early polling showing Tijuana Mayor Ismael Burgueño Ruiz ahead within Morena at roughly 29% have kept the race fragmented, as voters and traders weigh local executive experience, factional balances, and security or economic priorities. Incumbent term limits and the party's recent statewide dominance amplify the nomination's weight, yet limited public polling and ongoing coalition negotiations prevent any decisive separation. Key upcoming catalysts include further internal surveys, party coordination announcements, and potential endorsements that could consolidate support ahead of the general ballot.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,281
Date de fin
6 juin 2027
Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Connexes

icon for Antonio Manríquez remportera-t-il l'élection du gouverneur de Basse-Californie du Sud en 2027 ?

Antonio Manríquez remportera-t-il l'élection du gouverneur de Basse-Californie du Sud en 2027 ?

47%
Oui
icon for Will Héctor Santana García win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?

Will Héctor Santana García win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?

36%
icon for Will Graciela Domínguez Nava win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?

Will Graciela Domínguez Nava win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?

47%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Baja California Governor Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 21 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Julieta Ramírez Padilla » à 41%, suivi de « Ismael Burgueño Ruiz » à 41%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 41¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 41% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Baja California Governor Election Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 5, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Baja California Governor Election Winner », parcourez les 21 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Baja California Governor Election Winner » est « Julieta Ramírez Padilla » à 41%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 41% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Ismael Burgueño Ruiz » à 41%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Baja California Governor Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.