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Politique·Mexique

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Basse-Californie du Sud

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Basse-Californie du Sud
Politique·Mexique

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Basse-Californie du Sud

Antonio Manríquez 47%

Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros 45%

Manuel Cota Cárdenas 43%

Milena Quiroga Romero 43%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Antonio Manríquez 47%

Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros 45%

Manuel Cota Cárdenas 43%

Milena Quiroga Romero 43%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Antonio Manríquez

Antonio Manríquez

$0 Vol.

47%

icon for Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros

Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Manuel Cota Cárdenas

Manuel Cota Cárdenas

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Milena Quiroga Romero

Milena Quiroga Romero

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for José Saúl González Núñez

José Saúl González Núñez

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Susana Zataraín García

Susana Zataraín García

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Edith Aguilar Villavicencio

Edith Aguilar Villavicencio

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Roxana Higuera

Roxana Higuera

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Christian Agúndez Gómez

Christian Agúndez Gómez

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Juan Alberto Valdivia Alvarado

Juan Alberto Valdivia Alvarado

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Fabricio del Castillo

Fabricio del Castillo

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Jesús Alberto Alvarado Aragón

Jesús Alberto Alvarado Aragón

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Diana Von Borstel Luna

Diana Von Borstel Luna

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias

Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for José Rigoberto Mares Aguilar

José Rigoberto Mares Aguilar

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Ricardo Barroso Agramont

Ricardo Barroso Agramont

$0 Vol.

42%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California Sur on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Baja California Sur gubernatorial race for 2027 remains highly fragmented, with no candidate exceeding low-to-mid 40s in recent polling and multiple Morena figures clustered near the top. Internal party surveys show Christian Agúndez Gómez leading Morena preferences, while Milena Quiroga Romero and others trail within the same coalition; opposition contenders trail further behind. Traders price the field tightly because the contest hinges on coalition negotiations, primary outcomes, and turnout among key regional blocs ahead of the vote, with limited differentiation in name recognition or policy positioning so far. Late-breaking endorsements or shifts in state-level party alliances could quickly widen gaps before the official nomination window closes.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California Sur on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
6 juin 2027
Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 7:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California Sur on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California Sur on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Baja California Sur gubernatorial race for 2027 remains highly fragmented, with no candidate exceeding low-to-mid 40s in recent polling and multiple Morena figures clustered near the top. Internal party surveys show Christian Agúndez Gómez leading Morena preferences, while Milena Quiroga Romero and others trail within the same coalition; opposition contenders trail further behind. Traders price the field tightly because the contest hinges on coalition negotiations, primary outcomes, and turnout among key regional blocs ahead of the vote, with limited differentiation in name recognition or policy positioning so far. Late-breaking endorsements or shifts in state-level party alliances could quickly widen gaps before the official nomination window closes.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California Sur on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
6 juin 2027
Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 7:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California Sur on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Connexes

icon for Will Gina Cruz Blackledge win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?

Will Gina Cruz Blackledge win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?

42%
icon for Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?

Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?

43%
icon for Will Graciela Domínguez Nava win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?

Will Graciela Domínguez Nava win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?

47%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Basse-Californie du Sud » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 16 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Antonio Manríquez » à 47%, suivi de « Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros » à 45%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 47¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 47% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Basse-Californie du Sud » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 5, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Basse-Californie du Sud », parcourez les 16 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Basse-Californie du Sud » est « Antonio Manríquez » à 47%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 47% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros » à 45%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Basse-Californie du Sud » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.