Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 58.6% implied probability after an exceptional 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich that featured 73 goals across all competitions and standout World Cup scoring that elevated him ahead of other contenders in the eyes of voters and traders. Lamine Yamal sits second at 16.4% following Spain's World Cup triumph and his continued elite output at Barcelona, though his youth and team context have not fully closed the gap. Rodri, Kylian Mbappé, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia trail further back as their club and international contributions this season have not matched Kane's volume or timing, while veterans like Lionel Messi remain longshots amid limited recent impact. Recent post-tournament assessments have reinforced these rankings with minimal shifts in the past month.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHarry Kane 58.6%
Lamine Yamal 16.4%
Rodri 8%
Kylian Mbappé 7.2%
$28,435,002 Vol.
$28,435,002 Vol.
Harry Kane
59%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
8%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 58.6%
Lamine Yamal 16.4%
Rodri 8%
Kylian Mbappé 7.2%
$28,435,002 Vol.
$28,435,002 Vol.
Harry Kane
59%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
8%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 58.6% implied probability after an exceptional 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich that featured 73 goals across all competitions and standout World Cup scoring that elevated him ahead of other contenders in the eyes of voters and traders. Lamine Yamal sits second at 16.4% following Spain's World Cup triumph and his continued elite output at Barcelona, though his youth and team context have not fully closed the gap. Rodri, Kylian Mbappé, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia trail further back as their club and international contributions this season have not matched Kane's volume or timing, while veterans like Lionel Messi remain longshots amid limited recent impact. Recent post-tournament assessments have reinforced these rankings with minimal shifts in the past month.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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