Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 61.5% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025/26 campaign that delivered 73 goals and eight assists across 65 appearances for Bayern Munich and England. His Bundesliga title, DFB-Pokal, domestic supercup, and Golden Shoe recognition, combined with strong World Cup output, have established him as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus. Lamine Yamal sits second at 16% on the back of Barcelona's domestic success, exceptional creative numbers, and standout international displays as a teenage phenom. Rodri, Mbappé, and Kvaratskhelia trail further behind, reflecting fewer comparable individual peaks or major honors in the same window. The post-World Cup shift has cemented Kane's position while leaving room for late momentum from other contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHarry Kane 61.5%
Lamine Yamal 16.0%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.1%
$28,733,672 Vol.
$28,733,672 Vol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 61.5%
Lamine Yamal 16.0%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.1%
$28,733,672 Vol.
$28,733,672 Vol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 61.5% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025/26 campaign that delivered 73 goals and eight assists across 65 appearances for Bayern Munich and England. His Bundesliga title, DFB-Pokal, domestic supercup, and Golden Shoe recognition, combined with strong World Cup output, have established him as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus. Lamine Yamal sits second at 16% on the back of Barcelona's domestic success, exceptional creative numbers, and standout international displays as a teenage phenom. Rodri, Mbappé, and Kvaratskhelia trail further behind, reflecting fewer comparable individual peaks or major honors in the same window. The post-World Cup shift has cemented Kane's position while leaving room for late momentum from other contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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