Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 58.3% implied probability after a record-breaking Bundesliga campaign with Bayern Munich that delivered dozens of goals and domestic titles, reinforced by six World Cup goals for England that elevated him as the frontrunner in post-tournament trader consensus. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.7% following strong La Liga output and Spain contributions, though his profile trails Kane's combined club-international impact. Rodri (9.0%) and Kylian Mbappé (8.5%) reflect sustained elite form at Manchester City and elsewhere, while lower-priced names like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Ousmane Dembélé capture niche standout seasons. Market pricing highlights how the recent World Cup resolution and European league title races have concentrated probability on players with the broadest trophy and statistical footprints.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHarry Kane 58.1%
Lamine Yamal 15.7%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 8.5%
$29,187,970 Vol.
$29,187,970 Vol.
Harry Kane
58%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Lionel Messi
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 58.1%
Lamine Yamal 15.7%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 8.5%
$29,187,970 Vol.
$29,187,970 Vol.
Harry Kane
58%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Lionel Messi
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 58.3% implied probability after a record-breaking Bundesliga campaign with Bayern Munich that delivered dozens of goals and domestic titles, reinforced by six World Cup goals for England that elevated him as the frontrunner in post-tournament trader consensus. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.7% following strong La Liga output and Spain contributions, though his profile trails Kane's combined club-international impact. Rodri (9.0%) and Kylian Mbappé (8.5%) reflect sustained elite form at Manchester City and elsewhere, while lower-priced names like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Ousmane Dembélé capture niche standout seasons. Market pricing highlights how the recent World Cup resolution and European league title races have concentrated probability on players with the broadest trophy and statistical footprints.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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