UK inflation held steady at 2.8% in May 2026, above the Bank of England’s 2% target, as Middle East conflict drove energy and motor fuel costs higher and prompted the MPC to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% through April. This geopolitical shock reversed earlier expectations for two 2026 cuts, with futures markets now pricing in a greater chance of tightening; one MPC member already voted for a 25-basis-point hike in April. Trader sentiment at 57.5% implied probability for a hike this year reflects these persistent price pressures and divided committee views ahead of the June 18 decision, while acknowledging that further data could still shift the path.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$41,772 Vol.
$41,772 Vol.
$41,772 Vol.
$41,772 Vol.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...UK inflation held steady at 2.8% in May 2026, above the Bank of England’s 2% target, as Middle East conflict drove energy and motor fuel costs higher and prompted the MPC to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% through April. This geopolitical shock reversed earlier expectations for two 2026 cuts, with futures markets now pricing in a greater chance of tightening; one MPC member already voted for a 25-basis-point hike in April. Trader sentiment at 57.5% implied probability for a hike this year reflects these persistent price pressures and divided committee views ahead of the June 18 decision, while acknowledging that further data could still shift the path.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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