The Bank of England’s decision to hold its 3.75% Bank Rate on a 6-3 vote at the July 30 meeting, amid CPI inflation of 2.6% and elevated but volatile energy prices from Middle East tensions, underpins the 72% market-implied probability against a 2026 hike. Policymakers view current settings as appropriate to return inflation sustainably to the 2% target, with labor-market softening and limited second-round effects providing offset to upside risks. While three MPC members favored an immediate 25-basis-point increase and futures pricing embeds some tightening later in the year, the central forecast path and economist consensus favor steady policy through year-end, with the September 17 meeting and subsequent data releases as key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$47,142 Vol.
$47,142 Vol.
Oui
$47,142 Vol.
$47,142 Vol.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Bank of England’s decision to hold its 3.75% Bank Rate on a 6-3 vote at the July 30 meeting, amid CPI inflation of 2.6% and elevated but volatile energy prices from Middle East tensions, underpins the 72% market-implied probability against a 2026 hike. Policymakers view current settings as appropriate to return inflation sustainably to the 2% target, with labor-market softening and limited second-round effects providing offset to upside risks. While three MPC members favored an immediate 25-basis-point increase and futures pricing embeds some tightening later in the year, the central forecast path and economist consensus favor steady policy through year-end, with the September 17 meeting and subsequent data releases as key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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