Apple’s decision to split its iPhone 18 lineup across two release windows is the main factor shaping trader views on the base model’s timing. At the September 9, 2026 event, the company launched only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo, skipping the standard iPhone 18 amid reported memory and 2 nm chip supply constraints that favor higher-margin premium devices. Multiple supply-chain reports, including from Ming-Chi Kuo and component suppliers like Largan Precision, point to a spring 2027 debut for the base iPhone 18 alongside the iPhone 18e and iPhone Air 2. This shift from Apple’s traditional unified September cadence reflects growing portfolio complexity and allows focused manufacturing capacity for flagships during the holiday period, with the base model now likely arriving no earlier than March 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
28 févr. 2027
28 février 2027
32%
31 mars 2027
74%
30 avril 2027
81%
$192 Vol.
28 février 2027
$104 Vol.
32%
31 mars 2027
$88 Vol.
74%
30 avril 2027
$0 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s decision to split its iPhone 18 lineup across two release windows is the main factor shaping trader views on the base model’s timing. At the September 9, 2026 event, the company launched only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo, skipping the standard iPhone 18 amid reported memory and 2 nm chip supply constraints that favor higher-margin premium devices. Multiple supply-chain reports, including from Ming-Chi Kuo and component suppliers like Largan Precision, point to a spring 2027 debut for the base iPhone 18 alongside the iPhone 18e and iPhone Air 2. This shift from Apple’s traditional unified September cadence reflects growing portfolio complexity and allows focused manufacturing capacity for flagships during the holiday period, with the base model now likely arriving no earlier than March 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
Volume
$192Date de fin
1 mai 2027Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s decision to split its iPhone 18 lineup across two release windows is the main factor shaping trader views on the base model’s timing. At the September 9, 2026 event, the company launched only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo, skipping the standard iPhone 18 amid reported memory and 2 nm chip supply constraints that favor higher-margin premium devices. Multiple supply-chain reports, including from Ming-Chi Kuo and component suppliers like Largan Precision, point to a spring 2027 debut for the base iPhone 18 alongside the iPhone 18e and iPhone Air 2. This shift from Apple’s traditional unified September cadence reflects growing portfolio complexity and allows focused manufacturing capacity for flagships during the holiday period, with the base model now likely arriving no earlier than March 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$192Date de fin
1 mai 2027Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Apple’s decision to split its iPhone 18 lineup across two release windows is the main factor shaping trader views on the base model’s timing. At the September 9, 2026 event, the company launched only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo, skipping the standard iPhone 18 amid reported memory and 2 nm chip supply constraints that favor higher-margin premium devices. Multiple supply-chain reports, including from Ming-Chi Kuo and component suppliers like Largan Precision, point to a spring 2027 debut for the base iPhone 18 alongside the iPhone 18e and iPhone Air 2. This shift from Apple’s traditional unified September cadence reflects growing portfolio complexity and allows focused manufacturing capacity for flagships during the holiday period, with the base model now likely arriving no earlier than March 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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