Recent polls show Berlin's CDU hovering near 19-20% ahead of the September 20 state election, placing it in a fragmented field where Die Linke, AfD, Greens, and SPD each poll between 13-19%. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition lacks a majority in current surveys, while the July replacement of lead candidate Kai Wegner by Stefan Evers has coincided with modest CDU softening and Linke gains. Proportional seat allocation, overhang rules, and turnout variability in a multi-party contest keep projected CDU totals tightly clustered around 25-34 seats. Modest shifts in any major party's support or coalition signaling before election day could widen or narrow those ranges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBerlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?
Berlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?
35-39 22%
<25 11%
40-44 4%
45+ 1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
<25
12%
25-29
37%
30-34
35%
35-39
28%
40-44
21%
45+
16%
35-39 22%
<25 11%
40-44 4%
45+ 1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
<25
$269 Vol.
12%
25-29
$118 Vol.
37%
30-34
$46 Vol.
35%
35-39
$152 Vol.
28%
40-44
$20 Vol.
21%
45+
$46 Vol.
16%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls show Berlin's CDU hovering near 19-20% ahead of the September 20 state election, placing it in a fragmented field where Die Linke, AfD, Greens, and SPD each poll between 13-19%. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition lacks a majority in current surveys, while the July replacement of lead candidate Kai Wegner by Stefan Evers has coincided with modest CDU softening and Linke gains. Proportional seat allocation, overhang rules, and turnout variability in a multi-party contest keep projected CDU totals tightly clustered around 25-34 seats. Modest shifts in any major party's support or coalition signaling before election day could widen or narrow those ranges.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Volume
$652Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls show Berlin's CDU hovering near 19-20% ahead of the September 20 state election, placing it in a fragmented field where Die Linke, AfD, Greens, and SPD each poll between 13-19%. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition lacks a majority in current surveys, while the July replacement of lead candidate Kai Wegner by Stefan Evers has coincided with modest CDU softening and Linke gains. Proportional seat allocation, overhang rules, and turnout variability in a multi-party contest keep projected CDU totals tightly clustered around 25-34 seats. Modest shifts in any major party's support or coalition signaling before election day could widen or narrow those ranges.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$652Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show Berlin's CDU hovering near 19-20% ahead of the September 20 state election, placing it in a fragmented field where Die Linke, AfD, Greens, and SPD each poll between 13-19%. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition lacks a majority in current surveys, while the July replacement of lead candidate Kai Wegner by Stefan Evers has coincided with modest CDU softening and Linke gains. Proportional seat allocation, overhang rules, and turnout variability in a multi-party contest keep projected CDU totals tightly clustered around 25-34 seats. Modest shifts in any major party's support or coalition signaling before election day could widen or narrow those ranges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes