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Élections·Élections Mondiales

Élection présidentielle bulgare

icon for Élection présidentielle bulgare
Élections·Élections Mondiales

Élection présidentielle bulgare

Iliana Iotova 74%

Andreï Gyurov 20%

Nikolai Denkov 1.3%

Vassil Terziev <1%

Polymarket

$325,314 Vol.

Iliana Iotova 74%

Andreï Gyurov 20%

Nikolai Denkov 1.3%

Vassil Terziev <1%

Polymarket

$325,314 Vol.

icon for Iliana Iotova

Iliana Iotova

$119,553 Vol.

74%

icon for Andreï Gyurov

Andreï Gyurov

$22,045 Vol.

20%

icon for Nikolai Denkov

Nikolai Denkov

$29,298 Vol.

1%

icon for Vassil Terziev

Vassil Terziev

$10,580 Vol.

1%

icon for Kostadin Kostadinov

Kostadin Kostadinov

$12,949 Vol.

1%

icon for Boyko Borissov

Boyko Borissov

$27,996 Vol.

1%

icon for Rosen Zhelyazkov

Rosen Zhelyazkov

$30,620 Vol.

<1%

icon for Natalia Kiselova

Natalia Kiselova

$12,746 Vol.

<1%

icon for Blagomir Kotsev

Blagomir Kotsev

$14,953 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yanaki Stoilov

Yanaki Stoilov

$11,434 Vol.

<1%

icon for Atanas Atanasov

Atanas Atanasov

$8,658 Vol.

<1%

icon for Delyan Peevski

Delyan Peevski

$7,726 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rosen Plevneliev

Rosen Plevneliev

$8,101 Vol.

<1%

icon for Krum Zarkov

Krum Zarkov

$8,654 Vol.

<1%

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Iliana Iotova holds a commanding lead in the Bulgaria presidential election market as the acting president who assumed office in January 2026 after Rumen Radev resigned to lead his Progressive Bulgaria party to a parliamentary majority in the April vote. Her endorsement by Progressive Bulgaria and the Bulgarian Socialist Party, combined with polling averages showing her at roughly 50 percent support ahead of the October 25 contest, underpins the 74 percent trader consensus. Andrey Gyurov, the caretaker prime minister she appointed earlier in the year, registers as the clearest alternative at 19.5 percent but lacks comparable institutional backing. Minor candidates remain at negligible levels, reflecting limited name recognition or party infrastructure. The market reflects the structural advantage of incumbency and the ruling coalition's recent consolidation of power in a system that has seen repeated snap parliamentary votes.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$325,314
Date de fin
30 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Iliana Iotova holds a commanding lead in the Bulgaria presidential election market as the acting president who assumed office in January 2026 after Rumen Radev resigned to lead his Progressive Bulgaria party to a parliamentary majority in the April vote. Her endorsement by Progressive Bulgaria and the Bulgarian Socialist Party, combined with polling averages showing her at roughly 50 percent support ahead of the October 25 contest, underpins the 74 percent trader consensus. Andrey Gyurov, the caretaker prime minister she appointed earlier in the year, registers as the clearest alternative at 19.5 percent but lacks comparable institutional backing. Minor candidates remain at negligible levels, reflecting limited name recognition or party infrastructure. The market reflects the structural advantage of incumbency and the ruling coalition's recent consolidation of power in a system that has seen repeated snap parliamentary votes.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$325,314
Date de fin
30 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

Connexes

icon for Vladan Đokić remportera-t-il la prochaine élection présidentielle en Serbie ?

Vladan Đokić remportera-t-il la prochaine élection présidentielle en Serbie ?

22%
Oui
icon for José Maria Neves va-t-il remporter l'élection présidentielle au Cap-Vert ?

José Maria Neves va-t-il remporter l'élection présidentielle au Cap-Vert ?

69%
Oui
icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva remportera-t-il l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva remportera-t-il l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ?

64%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection présidentielle bulgare » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 14 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Iliana Iotova » à 74%, suivi de « Andreï Gyurov » à 20%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 74¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 74% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection présidentielle bulgare » a généré $325.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 19, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection présidentielle bulgare », parcourez les 14 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection présidentielle bulgare » est « Iliana Iotova » à 74%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 74% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Andreï Gyurov » à 20%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection présidentielle bulgare » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.