The three sides promoted from 2. Bundesliga—Schalke 04, SV Elversberg, and SC Paderborn—face the steepest challenge in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, with pre-season models such as Opta simulations and betting markets assigning them the highest relegation probabilities of roughly 22-25% for direct demotion. Schalke returns with added experience via Edin Džeko but limited overall squad depth, while first-time top-flight side Elversberg and playoff-winner Paderborn lack the defensive organization and squad valuation of established sides. Mid-table clubs including 1. FC Köln, Werder Bremen, Hamburger SV, and Union Berlin remain in the conversation due to recent form concerns and leaky defenses. The bottom two finishers drop automatically, with 16th entering the two-legged playoff against 2. Bundesliga third place. Early matchweek results offer little clarity on momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSC Paderborn
62%
Werder Bremen
54%
1. FC Köln
50%
Union Berlin
50%
VfB Stuttgart
50%
FC Schalke 04
50%
Hamburger SV
50%
Mainz 05
50%
SC Freiburg
50%
SV Elversberg
47%
FC Augsburg
46%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
44%
Eintracht Frankfurt
39%
TSG Hoffenheim
38%
RB Leipzig
29%
Borussia Dortmund
21%
Bayer Leverkusen
21%
Bayern Munich
8%
$0.00 Vol.
SC Paderborn
62%
Werder Bremen
54%
1. FC Köln
50%
Union Berlin
50%
VfB Stuttgart
50%
FC Schalke 04
50%
Hamburger SV
50%
Mainz 05
50%
SC Freiburg
50%
SV Elversberg
47%
FC Augsburg
46%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
44%
Eintracht Frankfurt
39%
TSG Hoffenheim
38%
RB Leipzig
29%
Borussia Dortmund
21%
Bayer Leverkusen
21%
Bayern Munich
8%
Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Bundesliga.
If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Bundesliga.
If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...The three sides promoted from 2. Bundesliga—Schalke 04, SV Elversberg, and SC Paderborn—face the steepest challenge in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, with pre-season models such as Opta simulations and betting markets assigning them the highest relegation probabilities of roughly 22-25% for direct demotion. Schalke returns with added experience via Edin Džeko but limited overall squad depth, while first-time top-flight side Elversberg and playoff-winner Paderborn lack the defensive organization and squad valuation of established sides. Mid-table clubs including 1. FC Köln, Werder Bremen, Hamburger SV, and Union Berlin remain in the conversation due to recent form concerns and leaky defenses. The bottom two finishers drop automatically, with 16th entering the two-legged playoff against 2. Bundesliga third place. Early matchweek results offer little clarity on momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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