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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Burnie
Politique·Maire

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Burnie

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Burnie
Politique·Maire

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Burnie

Giovanna Simpson 40%

Teeny Brumby 36%

Ken Dorsey 10%

Chris Lynch 7%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Giovanna Simpson 40%

Teeny Brumby 36%

Ken Dorsey 10%

Chris Lynch 7%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Giovanna Simpson

Giovanna Simpson

$467 Vol.

40%

icon for Teeny Brumby

Teeny Brumby

$2,404 Vol.

36%

icon for Ken Dorsey

Ken Dorsey

$536 Vol.

10%

icon for Chris Lynch

Chris Lynch

$202 Vol.

7%

icon for Geoffrey Summers

Geoffrey Summers

$407 Vol.

5%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Burnie as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Burnie mayoral race remains closely contested ahead of Tasmania’s October 27, 2026 local government elections, with nominations opening September 7. Incumbent Teeny Brumby, first elected mayor in 2022 after serving as councillor, faces a direct challenge from Deputy Mayor Giovanna Simpson, who announced her candidacy in February after setting aside state parliamentary ambitions. Other declared or potential contenders including Chris Lynch, Ken Dorsey, and Geoffrey Summers add further fragmentation in a preferential voting system. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with Simpson and Brumby the clear leaders but separated by only a few points amid broad fields priced near even money. Key variables include name recognition, recent council dynamics such as the 2025 no-confidence motion that failed against Brumby, and voter priorities around local development, business support, and community services. Late nominations or preference flows could still shift outcomes before postal ballots begin in early October.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Burnie as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Burnie as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$4,017
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 4:05 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Burnie as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Burnie mayoral race remains closely contested ahead of Tasmania’s October 27, 2026 local government elections, with nominations opening September 7. Incumbent Teeny Brumby, first elected mayor in 2022 after serving as councillor, faces a direct challenge from Deputy Mayor Giovanna Simpson, who announced her candidacy in February after setting aside state parliamentary ambitions. Other declared or potential contenders including Chris Lynch, Ken Dorsey, and Geoffrey Summers add further fragmentation in a preferential voting system. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with Simpson and Brumby the clear leaders but separated by only a few points amid broad fields priced near even money. Key variables include name recognition, recent council dynamics such as the 2025 no-confidence motion that failed against Brumby, and voter priorities around local development, business support, and community services. Late nominations or preference flows could still shift outcomes before postal ballots begin in early October.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Burnie as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Burnie as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$4,017
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 4:05 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

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59%
Oui
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Janet Gatehouse va-t-elle remporter la prochaine élection municipale de Sorell ?

51%
Oui
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Alison Jarman remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection du maire de Devonport ?

69%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Burnie » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Giovanna Simpson » à 40%, suivi de « Teeny Brumby » à 36%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 40¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Burnie » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 3, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Burnie », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Burnie » est « Giovanna Simpson » à 40%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Teeny Brumby » à 36%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Burnie » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.