The strong Democratic lean of California's 7th congressional district, combined with incumbent Doris Matsui's long record of securing federal funding for local infrastructure and flood protection projects, underpins traders' 91.5 percent consensus that the party will retain the seat in the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the district as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting its voter registration edge and consistent performance in prior cycles. The June 2 top-two primary, where Matsui holds a clear lead in available polling against challenger Mai Vang, is unlikely to alter the general-election matchup. Only an unforeseen national political realignment or an unusually strong Republican primary performance could realistically narrow the margin enough to shift the outcome before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CA-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
92%
Parti républicain
9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$1,855 Vol.
92%
Parti républicain
$715 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 7th congressional district, combined with incumbent Doris Matsui's long record of securing federal funding for local infrastructure and flood protection projects, underpins traders' 91.5 percent consensus that the party will retain the seat in the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the district as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting its voter registration edge and consistent performance in prior cycles. The June 2 top-two primary, where Matsui holds a clear lead in available polling against challenger Mai Vang, is unlikely to alter the general-election matchup. Only an unforeseen national political realignment or an unusually strong Republican primary performance could realistically narrow the margin enough to shift the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$2,569Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 7th congressional district, combined with incumbent Doris Matsui's long record of securing federal funding for local infrastructure and flood protection projects, underpins traders' 91.5 percent consensus that the party will retain the seat in the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the district as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting its voter registration edge and consistent performance in prior cycles. The June 2 top-two primary, where Matsui holds a clear lead in available polling against challenger Mai Vang, is unlikely to alter the general-election matchup. Only an unforeseen national political realignment or an unusually strong Republican primary performance could realistically narrow the margin enough to shift the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$2,569Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of California's 7th congressional district, combined with incumbent Doris Matsui's long record of securing federal funding for local infrastructure and flood protection projects, underpins traders' 91.5 percent consensus that the party will retain the seat in the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the district as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting its voter registration edge and consistent performance in prior cycles. The June 2 top-two primary, where Matsui holds a clear lead in available polling against challenger Mai Vang, is unlikely to alter the general-election matchup. Only an unforeseen national political realignment or an unusually strong Republican primary performance could realistically narrow the margin enough to shift the outcome before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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