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icon for Le Canada demande l'adhésion à part entière à l'UE d'ici le... ?
Politique·Canada

Le Canada demande l'adhésion à part entière à l'UE d'ici le... ?

icon for Le Canada demande l'adhésion à part entière à l'UE d'ici le... ?
Politique·Canada

Le Canada demande l'adhésion à part entière à l'UE d'ici le... ?

NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$1,254 Vol.

Polymarket

31 décembre 2026

$1,226 Vol.

2%

31 décembre 2027

$28 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Canada formally submits an application for Canada to become an EU member state to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal application means a written request for Canada to become a member state of the European Union The application must be submitted by the Government of Canada or by a representative acting with its authority. An application will qualify even if it seeks or anticipates opt-outs, exemptions, or transition periods on specific European Union policies. A request, proposal, negotiation, or agreement concerning associate membership, an "Alliance for the Future" or other partnership, an association agreement, a framework agreement, membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union, or any other status short of membership will not qualify. Statements of intent, expressions of interest, exploratory talks, parliamentary motions, petitions, and proposals or invitations from the European Union or any of its member states will not qualify. Once a qualifying application has been submitted, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the European Union accepts, rejects, deems inadmissible, or acts on the application, and whether the application is later withdrawn. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, the Council of the European Union, the European Council, and the European Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent statements from Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen have clarified that Ottawa is pursuing deeper strategic cooperation with the EU on defense, critical minerals, energy security, and technology through an enhanced CETA framework and a proposed new "associate member" status rather than full accession. Carney explicitly ruled out a full membership application, noting treaty requirements limit candidacy to European states and that Canada seeks arrangements preserving sovereignty. The mid-September 2026 proposal for associate membership, which lacks any treaty basis and requires unanimous EU approval, has drawn domestic Canadian opposition and U.S. criticism while prompting plans for further definition at the October EU-Canada summit in Montreal. These developments underscore structural barriers and a preference for tailored partnership over accession negotiations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Canada formally submits an application for Canada to become an EU member state to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal application means a written request for Canada to become a member state of the European Union The application must be submitted by the Government of Canada or by a representative acting with its authority.

An application will qualify even if it seeks or anticipates opt-outs, exemptions, or transition periods on specific European Union policies. A request, proposal, negotiation, or agreement concerning associate membership, an "Alliance for the Future" or other partnership, an association agreement, a framework agreement, membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union, or any other status short of membership will not qualify. Statements of intent, expressions of interest, exploratory talks, parliamentary motions, petitions, and proposals or invitations from the European Union or any of its member states will not qualify.

Once a qualifying application has been submitted, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the European Union accepts, rejects, deems inadmissible, or acts on the application, and whether the application is later withdrawn.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, the Council of the European Union, the European Council, and the European Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Canada formally submits an application for Canada to become an EU member state to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal application means a written request for Canada to become a member state of the European Union The application must be submitted by the Government of Canada or by a representative acting with its authority. An application will qualify even if it seeks or anticipates opt-outs, exemptions, or transition periods on specific European Union policies. A request, proposal, negotiation, or agreement concerning associate membership, an "Alliance for the Future" or other partnership, an association agreement, a framework agreement, membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union, or any other status short of membership will not qualify. Statements of intent, expressions of interest, exploratory talks, parliamentary motions, petitions, and proposals or invitations from the European Union or any of its member states will not qualify. Once a qualifying application has been submitted, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the European Union accepts, rejects, deems inadmissible, or acts on the application, and whether the application is later withdrawn. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, the Council of the European Union, the European Council, and the European Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,254
Date de fin
1 janv. 2028
Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Canada formally submits an application for Canada to become an EU member state to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal application means a written request for Canada to become a member state of the European Union The application must be submitted by the Government of Canada or by a representative acting with its authority. An application will qualify even if it seeks or anticipates opt-outs, exemptions, or transition periods on specific European Union policies. A request, proposal, negotiation, or agreement concerning associate membership, an "Alliance for the Future" or other partnership, an association agreement, a framework agreement, membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union, or any other status short of membership will not qualify. Statements of intent, expressions of interest, exploratory talks, parliamentary motions, petitions, and proposals or invitations from the European Union or any of its member states will not qualify. Once a qualifying application has been submitted, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the European Union accepts, rejects, deems inadmissible, or acts on the application, and whether the application is later withdrawn. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, the Council of the European Union, the European Council, and the European Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent statements from Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen have clarified that Ottawa is pursuing deeper strategic cooperation with the EU on defense, critical minerals, energy security, and technology through an enhanced CETA framework and a proposed new "associate member" status rather than full accession. Carney explicitly ruled out a full membership application, noting treaty requirements limit candidacy to European states and that Canada seeks arrangements preserving sovereignty. The mid-September 2026 proposal for associate membership, which lacks any treaty basis and requires unanimous EU approval, has drawn domestic Canadian opposition and U.S. criticism while prompting plans for further definition at the October EU-Canada summit in Montreal. These developments underscore structural barriers and a preference for tailored partnership over accession negotiations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Canada formally submits an application for Canada to become an EU member state to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal application means a written request for Canada to become a member state of the European Union The application must be submitted by the Government of Canada or by a representative acting with its authority.

An application will qualify even if it seeks or anticipates opt-outs, exemptions, or transition periods on specific European Union policies. A request, proposal, negotiation, or agreement concerning associate membership, an "Alliance for the Future" or other partnership, an association agreement, a framework agreement, membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union, or any other status short of membership will not qualify. Statements of intent, expressions of interest, exploratory talks, parliamentary motions, petitions, and proposals or invitations from the European Union or any of its member states will not qualify.

Once a qualifying application has been submitted, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the European Union accepts, rejects, deems inadmissible, or acts on the application, and whether the application is later withdrawn.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, the Council of the European Union, the European Council, and the European Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Canada formally submits an application for Canada to become an EU member state to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal application means a written request for Canada to become a member state of the European Union The application must be submitted by the Government of Canada or by a representative acting with its authority. An application will qualify even if it seeks or anticipates opt-outs, exemptions, or transition periods on specific European Union policies. A request, proposal, negotiation, or agreement concerning associate membership, an "Alliance for the Future" or other partnership, an association agreement, a framework agreement, membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union, or any other status short of membership will not qualify. Statements of intent, expressions of interest, exploratory talks, parliamentary motions, petitions, and proposals or invitations from the European Union or any of its member states will not qualify. Once a qualifying application has been submitted, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the European Union accepts, rejects, deems inadmissible, or acts on the application, and whether the application is later withdrawn. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, the Council of the European Union, the European Council, and the European Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,254
Date de fin
1 janv. 2028
Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

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Questions fréquentes

« Le Canada demande l'adhésion à part entière à l'UE d'ici le... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 décembre 2027 » à 27%, suivi de « 31 décembre 2026 » à 2%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 27¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 27% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Le Canada demande l'adhésion à part entière à l'UE d'ici le... ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Le Canada demande l'adhésion à part entière à l'UE d'ici le... ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Le Canada demande l'adhésion à part entière à l'UE d'ici le... ? » est « 31 décembre 2027 » à 27%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 27% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 31 décembre 2026 » à 2%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Le Canada demande l'adhésion à part entière à l'UE d'ici le... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.