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icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 37%

HOPE by NA Hong-jin 24%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 23%

LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI 18.2%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 37%

HOPE by NA Hong-jin 24%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 23%

LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI 18.2%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI

$880 Vol.

29%

HOPE by NA Hong-jin

$1,821 Vol.

24%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV

$876 Vol.

23%

LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI

$278 Vol.

18%

THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS

$103 Vol.

17%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke

$710 Vol.

18%

DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH

$38 Vol.

12%

EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)

$111 Vol.

10%

FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU

$177 Vol.

7%

NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE

$113 Vol.

5%

PAPER TIGER de James GRAY

$61 Vol.

5%

A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET

$103 Vol.

4%

THE UNKNOWN by Arthur HARARI

$304 Vol.

4%

GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER

$119 Vol.

3%

AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR

$162 Vol.

3%

PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI

$621 Vol.

3%

SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu

$1,154 Vol.

3%

COWARD by Lukas DHONT

$171 Vol.

7%

ANOTHER DAY by Jeanne HERRY

$104 Vol.

2%

THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS

$103 Vol.

2%

MOULIN by László NEMES

$103 Vol.

17%

NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji

$72 Vol.

<1%

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight race for the 2026 Palme d'Or reflects a competitive field of auteur-driven titles from directors with strong festival pedigrees, including recent competition premieres that have shaped early trader sentiment. Pawel Pawlikowski’s Fatherland leads with momentum from its well-received screening, building on the Polish director’s prior Cannes acclaim and precise arthouse style. Close behind, Na Hong-jin’s Hope and Andrey Zvyagintsev’s Minotaur draw support from their respective sci-fi and dramatic reputations, while Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s All of a Sudden benefits from consistent critical favor. With multiple films still screening before the May 23 ceremony, guild-style jury dynamics and late reviews could shift the frontrunner status in this historically unpredictable category.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,186
Date de fin
23 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight race for the 2026 Palme d'Or reflects a competitive field of auteur-driven titles from directors with strong festival pedigrees, including recent competition premieres that have shaped early trader sentiment. Pawel Pawlikowski’s Fatherland leads with momentum from its well-received screening, building on the Polish director’s prior Cannes acclaim and precise arthouse style. Close behind, Na Hong-jin’s Hope and Andrey Zvyagintsev’s Minotaur draw support from their respective sci-fi and dramatic reputations, while Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s All of a Sudden benefits from consistent critical favor. With multiple films still screening before the May 23 ceremony, guild-style jury dynamics and late reviews could shift the frontrunner status in this historically unpredictable category.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,186
Date de fin
23 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 22 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI » à 28%, suivi de « HOPE by NA Hong-jin » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 28¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 28% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 16, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner », parcourez les 22 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner » est « FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI » à 28%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 28% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « HOPE by NA Hong-jin » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.