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icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 35%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke 29%

DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH 18.3%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 18%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 35%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke 29%

DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH 18.3%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 18%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI

$945 Vol.

35%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke

$768 Vol.

29%

DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH

$145 Vol.

18%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV

$919 Vol.

18%

AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR

$200 Vol.

11%

LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI

$316 Vol.

11%

FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU

$230 Vol.

11%

THE UNKNOWN by Arthur HARARI

$362 Vol.

9%

THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS

$141 Vol.

8%

EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)

$194 Vol.

5%

HOPE by NA Hong-jin

$2,459 Vol.

5%

NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji

$87 Vol.

5%

A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET

$171 Vol.

5%

COWARD by Lukas DHONT

$209 Vol.

5%

PAPER TIGER de James GRAY

$161 Vol.

5%

MOULIN by László NEMES

$171 Vol.

3%

PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI

$664 Vol.

3%

GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER

$192 Vol.

3%

THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS

$171 Vol.

3%

SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu

$1,169 Vol.

2%

NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE

$156 Vol.

2%

ANOTHER DAY by Jeanne HERRY

$152 Vol.

10%

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight race for the Palme d'Or at Cannes reflects a field of seasoned international auteurs whose latest works have generated strong early buzz among critics and programmers. Pawel Pawlikowski’s FATHERLAND holds the top position with 35% implied probability, edging out Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s ALL OF A SUDDEN at 28%, as traders weigh Pawlikowski’s proven festival track record against Hamaguchi’s recent Palme-winning momentum. Andrey Zvyagintsev’s MINOTAUR sits at 19% on the strength of its politically charged storytelling, while a broad pack of titles from Pedro Almodóvar, Cristian Mungiu, and others cluster between 11% and 5%, underscoring how jury composition, premiere screenings, and last-minute critical reception can still reshape outcomes in the coming days.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,981
Date de fin
23 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight race for the Palme d'Or at Cannes reflects a field of seasoned international auteurs whose latest works have generated strong early buzz among critics and programmers. Pawel Pawlikowski’s FATHERLAND holds the top position with 35% implied probability, edging out Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s ALL OF A SUDDEN at 28%, as traders weigh Pawlikowski’s proven festival track record against Hamaguchi’s recent Palme-winning momentum. Andrey Zvyagintsev’s MINOTAUR sits at 19% on the strength of its politically charged storytelling, while a broad pack of titles from Pedro Almodóvar, Cristian Mungiu, and others cluster between 11% and 5%, underscoring how jury composition, premiere screenings, and last-minute critical reception can still reshape outcomes in the coming days.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,981
Date de fin
23 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 22 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI » à 35%, suivi de « ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke » à 29%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 35¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 35% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 16, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner », parcourez les 22 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner » est « FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI » à 35%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 35% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke » à 29%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.