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Élections·Élection Principale

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Chiayi

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Chiayi
Élections·Élection Principale

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Chiayi

Wang Mei-hui 79%

Chang Chi-kai 17%

Huang Hung-cheng 5.1%

Chen Chia-ping 3.7%

Polymarket

$10,742 Vol.

Wang Mei-hui 79%

Chang Chi-kai 17%

Huang Hung-cheng 5.1%

Chen Chia-ping 3.7%

Polymarket

$10,742 Vol.

icon for Wang Mei-hui

Wang Mei-hui

$7,739 Vol.

79%

icon for Chang Chi-kai

Chang Chi-kai

$1,617 Vol.

17%

icon for Huang Hung-cheng

Huang Hung-cheng

$344 Vol.

5%

icon for Chen Chia-ping

Chen Chia-ping

$248 Vol.

4%

icon for Chen Kai-huang

Chen Kai-huang

$240 Vol.

2%

icon for Weng Shou-liang

Weng Shou-liang

$555 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Mei-hui, the Democratic Progressive Party legislator and nominee since October 2025, holds the leading position in trader consensus for the November 28, 2026, Chiayi City mayoral election due to the party's longstanding local strength and her consistent polling advantage. Recent surveys, including May 2026 data, show her ahead of main challenger Chang Chi-kai of the Taiwan People's Party, who secured opposition backing in April after party processes. Other listed candidates, including KMT nominee Weng Shou-liang and independents such as Huang Hung-cheng and Chen Chia-ping, register lower implied probabilities consistent with limited consolidation or support in a contest featuring candidate registration opening in late August. Current pricing reflects these structural party alignments and polling trends ahead of the vote, while allowing for potential shifts from late campaign developments.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$10,742
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Mei-hui, the Democratic Progressive Party legislator and nominee since October 2025, holds the leading position in trader consensus for the November 28, 2026, Chiayi City mayoral election due to the party's longstanding local strength and her consistent polling advantage. Recent surveys, including May 2026 data, show her ahead of main challenger Chang Chi-kai of the Taiwan People's Party, who secured opposition backing in April after party processes. Other listed candidates, including KMT nominee Weng Shou-liang and independents such as Huang Hung-cheng and Chen Chia-ping, register lower implied probabilities consistent with limited consolidation or support in a contest featuring candidate registration opening in late August. Current pricing reflects these structural party alignments and polling trends ahead of the vote, while allowing for potential shifts from late campaign developments.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$10,742
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Connexes

icon for Tsai Yi-yu va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Chiayi ?

Tsai Yi-yu va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Chiayi ?

86%
Oui
icon for Chiang Wan-an remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Taipei ?

Chiang Wan-an remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Taipei ?

91%
Oui
icon for Lai Jui-lung gagnera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Kaohsiung ?

Lai Jui-lung gagnera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Kaohsiung ?

84%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Chiayi » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Wang Mei-hui » à 79%, suivi de « Chang Chi-kai » à 17%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 79¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 79% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Chiayi » a généré $10.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 14, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Chiayi », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Chiayi » est « Wang Mei-hui » à 79%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 79% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Chang Chi-kai » à 17%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Chiayi » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.