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Politique·Taïwan

Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Chiayi

icon for Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Chiayi
Politique·Taïwan

Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Chiayi

Tsai Yi-yu 90%

Wu Pin-jui 8%

Tsai Sung-yi 5.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Tsai Yi-yu 90%

Wu Pin-jui 8%

Tsai Sung-yi 5.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Tsai Yi-yu

Tsai Yi-yu

$707 Vol.

90%

icon for Wu Pin-jui

Wu Pin-jui

$271 Vol.

8%

icon for Tsai Sung-yi

Tsai Sung-yi

$79 Vol.

5%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Tsai Yi-yu holds an 89.5% implied probability as the Chiayi County Magistrate winner due to his decisive January 2026 DPP primary victory and subsequent party nomination as the sole candidate. As a sitting legislator from the county with a decade of local experience, he benefits from the DPP's established organizational strength ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections. Lower-priced alternatives such as Wu Pin-jui at 7.5% and Tsai Sung-yi at 5.4% reflect limited visibility or party backing at this stage, while the broad field of other listed contenders remains at baseline levels pending formal nominations or polling shifts. The current trader consensus aligns with the absence of major recent disruptions to the DPP's position in the race.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,057
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Tsai Yi-yu holds an 89.5% implied probability as the Chiayi County Magistrate winner due to his decisive January 2026 DPP primary victory and subsequent party nomination as the sole candidate. As a sitting legislator from the county with a decade of local experience, he benefits from the DPP's established organizational strength ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections. Lower-priced alternatives such as Wu Pin-jui at 7.5% and Tsai Sung-yi at 5.4% reflect limited visibility or party backing at this stage, while the broad field of other listed contenders remains at baseline levels pending formal nominations or polling shifts. The current trader consensus aligns with the absence of major recent disruptions to the DPP's position in the race.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,057
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Connexes

icon for Wang Mei-hui va-t-elle gagner la prochaine élection du maire de la ville de Chiayi ?

Wang Mei-hui va-t-elle gagner la prochaine élection du maire de la ville de Chiayi ?

79%
Oui
icon for Wu Hsiu-hua va-t-elle gagner la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Taitung ?

Wu Hsiu-hua va-t-elle gagner la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Taitung ?

89%
Oui
icon for Chung Tung-chin remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Miaoli ?

Chung Tung-chin remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Miaoli ?

89%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Chiayi » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Tsai Yi-yu » à 90%, suivi de « Wu Pin-jui » à 8%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 90¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 90% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Chiayi » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 14, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Chiayi », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Chiayi » est « Tsai Yi-yu » à 90%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 90% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Wu Pin-jui » à 8%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Chiayi » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.