Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities—32% for 0.6–1.0% and 30% for 1.1–1.5% full-year 2026 China annual CPI—reflect April's consumer price index rising 1.2% year-over-year, beating consensus estimates of 0.8–0.9%, driven by energy cost surges from geopolitical tensions like the Iran conflict, while core CPI edged to 1.2% and PPI jumped to a 45-month high of 2.8%. This uptick counters earlier Q1 weakness at 0.9% average amid subdued domestic demand and property sector drags, balancing stimulus effects against imported inflation risks flagged by the PBOC. Consensus forecasts range 0.6–1.2%, with May CPI and central bank policy tweaks as pivotal near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourInflation annuelle en Chine 2026
Inflation annuelle en Chine 2026
1,1 – 1,5 % 44%
0,6 – 1,0 % 32%
2,5 %+ 7.1%
1,6 – 2,0 % 6.5%
$39,903 Vol.
$39,903 Vol.
10 janv. 2027
<-1,0 %
<1%
-0,9 – -0,5 %
<1%
-0,4 – 0,0 %
<1%
0,1 – 0,5 %
4%
0,6 – 1,0 %
32%
1,1 – 1,5 %
30%
1,6 – 2,0 %
7%
2,0–2,4 %
9%
2,5 %+
7%
1,1 – 1,5 % 44%
0,6 – 1,0 % 32%
2,5 %+ 7.1%
1,6 – 2,0 % 6.5%
$39,903 Vol.
$39,903 Vol.
10 janv. 2027
<-1,0 %
$17,461 Vol.
<1%
-0,9 – -0,5 %
$2,317 Vol.
<1%
-0,4 – 0,0 %
$2,534 Vol.
<1%
0,1 – 0,5 %
$2,821 Vol.
4%
0,6 – 1,0 %
$2,926 Vol.
32%
1,1 – 1,5 %
$3,312 Vol.
30%
1,6 – 2,0 %
$3,628 Vol.
7%
2,0–2,4 %
$2,400 Vol.
9%
2,5 %+
$2,504 Vol.
7%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities—32% for 0.6–1.0% and 30% for 1.1–1.5% full-year 2026 China annual CPI—reflect April's consumer price index rising 1.2% year-over-year, beating consensus estimates of 0.8–0.9%, driven by energy cost surges from geopolitical tensions like the Iran conflict, while core CPI edged to 1.2% and PPI jumped to a 45-month high of 2.8%. This uptick counters earlier Q1 weakness at 0.9% average amid subdued domestic demand and property sector drags, balancing stimulus effects against imported inflation risks flagged by the PBOC. Consensus forecasts range 0.6–1.2%, with May CPI and central bank policy tweaks as pivotal near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Marché ouvert : Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$39,903Date de fin
10 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities—32% for 0.6–1.0% and 30% for 1.1–1.5% full-year 2026 China annual CPI—reflect April's consumer price index rising 1.2% year-over-year, beating consensus estimates of 0.8–0.9%, driven by energy cost surges from geopolitical tensions like the Iran conflict, while core CPI edged to 1.2% and PPI jumped to a 45-month high of 2.8%. This uptick counters earlier Q1 weakness at 0.9% average amid subdued domestic demand and property sector drags, balancing stimulus effects against imported inflation risks flagged by the PBOC. Consensus forecasts range 0.6–1.2%, with May CPI and central bank policy tweaks as pivotal near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$39,903Date de fin
10 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities—32% for 0.6–1.0% and 30% for 1.1–1.5% full-year 2026 China annual CPI—reflect April's consumer price index rising 1.2% year-over-year, beating consensus estimates of 0.8–0.9%, driven by energy cost surges from geopolitical tensions like the Iran conflict, while core CPI edged to 1.2% and PPI jumped to a 45-month high of 2.8%. This uptick counters earlier Q1 weakness at 0.9% average amid subdued domestic demand and property sector drags, balancing stimulus effects against imported inflation risks flagged by the PBOC. Consensus forecasts range 0.6–1.2%, with May CPI and central bank policy tweaks as pivotal near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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