Recent monthly CPI readings, including a 0.5% year-over-year rate in July 2026 that fell below consensus, have reinforced trader positioning toward the 0.6–1.0% annual band as the leading outcome. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, ongoing declines in food prices such as pork amid ample supply, and softer non-food inflation tied to moderating transport and energy costs continue to anchor expectations near this range. Earlier 2026 prints between 0.2% and 1.2% reflect similar pressures from subdued consumption and policy efforts to address overcapacity. Markets assign lower weight to outcomes above 1.5% or below 0.5%, reflecting limited evidence of strong reacceleration or outright deflation through mid-year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourInflation annuelle en Chine 2026
Inflation annuelle en Chine 2026
0,6 – 1,0 % 44%
1,1 – 1,5 % 19%
0,1 – 0,5 % 17.9%
2,0–2,4 % 5.3%
$72,293 Vol.
$72,293 Vol.
10 janv. 2027
<-1,0 %
3%
-0,9 – -0,5 %
2%
-0,4 – 0,0 %
2%
0,1 – 0,5 %
18%
0,6 – 1,0 %
44%
1,1 – 1,5 %
19%
1,6 – 2,0 %
5%
2,0–2,4 %
5%
2,5 %+
<1%
0,6 – 1,0 % 44%
1,1 – 1,5 % 19%
0,1 – 0,5 % 17.9%
2,0–2,4 % 5.3%
$72,293 Vol.
$72,293 Vol.
10 janv. 2027
<-1,0 %
$19,736 Vol.
3%
-0,9 – -0,5 %
$3,327 Vol.
2%
-0,4 – 0,0 %
$4,597 Vol.
2%
0,1 – 0,5 %
$4,841 Vol.
18%
0,6 – 1,0 %
$8,747 Vol.
44%
1,1 – 1,5 %
$13,366 Vol.
19%
1,6 – 2,0 %
$6,462 Vol.
5%
2,0–2,4 %
$7,874 Vol.
5%
2,5 %+
$3,344 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent monthly CPI readings, including a 0.5% year-over-year rate in July 2026 that fell below consensus, have reinforced trader positioning toward the 0.6–1.0% annual band as the leading outcome. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, ongoing declines in food prices such as pork amid ample supply, and softer non-food inflation tied to moderating transport and energy costs continue to anchor expectations near this range. Earlier 2026 prints between 0.2% and 1.2% reflect similar pressures from subdued consumption and policy efforts to address overcapacity. Markets assign lower weight to outcomes above 1.5% or below 0.5%, reflecting limited evidence of strong reacceleration or outright deflation through mid-year.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Marché ouvert : Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$72,293Date de fin
10 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent monthly CPI readings, including a 0.5% year-over-year rate in July 2026 that fell below consensus, have reinforced trader positioning toward the 0.6–1.0% annual band as the leading outcome. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, ongoing declines in food prices such as pork amid ample supply, and softer non-food inflation tied to moderating transport and energy costs continue to anchor expectations near this range. Earlier 2026 prints between 0.2% and 1.2% reflect similar pressures from subdued consumption and policy efforts to address overcapacity. Markets assign lower weight to outcomes above 1.5% or below 0.5%, reflecting limited evidence of strong reacceleration or outright deflation through mid-year.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$72,293Date de fin
10 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly CPI readings, including a 0.5% year-over-year rate in July 2026 that fell below consensus, have reinforced trader positioning toward the 0.6–1.0% annual band as the leading outcome. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, ongoing declines in food prices such as pork amid ample supply, and softer non-food inflation tied to moderating transport and energy costs continue to anchor expectations near this range. Earlier 2026 prints between 0.2% and 1.2% reflect similar pressures from subdued consumption and policy efforts to address overcapacity. Markets assign lower weight to outcomes above 1.5% or below 0.5%, reflecting limited evidence of strong reacceleration or outright deflation through mid-year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes