Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly disruptions to shipments through the Strait of Hormuz amid the U.S.-Iran conflict, remain the dominant driver elevating crude oil prices and shaping trader sentiment for near-term benchmarks like WTI (CL). Global inventories have drawn down at a record pace, with the IEA noting sustained supply losses that could push prices higher through summer unless flows resume. Recent data show Brent averaging near $106 per barrel in May and June per EIA projections, supported by reduced OPEC output and limited spare capacity following the UAE's departure from the group, while softer demand growth forecasts reflect higher price sensitivity. Traders are closely monitoring potential easing of Hormuz restrictions, upcoming inventory reports, and any shifts in U.S. production or exports that could influence price paths through June resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe pétrole brut (CL) atteindra-t-il__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
$17,178,239 Vol.
↑ 200 $
2%
↑ 175 $
5%
↑ 150 $
13%
↑ 140 $
20%
↑ 130 $
31%
↑ 120 $
48%
↑ 115 $
58%
↑ $110
66%
↑ $105
87%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
48%
↓ 80 $
38%
↓ 70 $
13%
↓ 60 $
5%
↓ 55 $
3%
↓ 52 $
2%
↓ 50 $
2%
↓ 47 $
1%
↓ 45 $
2%
↓ 40 $
1%
↓ 35 $
1%
$17,178,239 Vol.
↑ 200 $
2%
↑ 175 $
5%
↑ 150 $
13%
↑ 140 $
20%
↑ 130 $
31%
↑ 120 $
48%
↑ 115 $
58%
↑ $110
66%
↑ $105
87%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
48%
↓ 80 $
38%
↓ 70 $
13%
↓ 60 $
5%
↓ 55 $
3%
↓ 52 $
2%
↓ 50 $
2%
↓ 47 $
1%
↓ 45 $
2%
↓ 40 $
1%
↓ 35 $
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : May 11, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly disruptions to shipments through the Strait of Hormuz amid the U.S.-Iran conflict, remain the dominant driver elevating crude oil prices and shaping trader sentiment for near-term benchmarks like WTI (CL). Global inventories have drawn down at a record pace, with the IEA noting sustained supply losses that could push prices higher through summer unless flows resume. Recent data show Brent averaging near $106 per barrel in May and June per EIA projections, supported by reduced OPEC output and limited spare capacity following the UAE's departure from the group, while softer demand growth forecasts reflect higher price sensitivity. Traders are closely monitoring potential easing of Hormuz restrictions, upcoming inventory reports, and any shifts in U.S. production or exports that could influence price paths through June resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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