Geopolitical tensions stemming from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict have driven significant supply disruptions, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and production shut-ins exceeding 5 million barrels per day, injecting a substantial risk premium into crude prices. WTI futures recently traded near $99 amid inventory draws projected by the EIA, though recent de-escalation signals triggered sharp pullbacks from May peaks above $106. OPEC+ lowered its 2026 global demand growth forecast to 1.17 million barrels per day while signaling a modest June output increase, tempering upside while summer driving season supports seasonal demand. Traders will closely monitor weekly EIA inventory releases and the June 7 OPEC+ meeting for clues on whether supply tightness persists through quarter-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe pétrole brut (CL) atteindra-t-il__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
$17,116,264 Vol.
↑ 200 $
2%
↑ 175 $
5%
↑ 150 $
12%
↑ 140 $
19%
↑ 130 $
30%
↑ 120 $
47%
↑ 115 $
58%
↑ $110
67%
↑ $105
88%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
42%
↓ 80 $
36%
↓ 70 $
10%
↓ 60 $
5%
↓ 55 $
3%
↓ 52 $
2%
↓ 50 $
2%
↓ 47 $
2%
↓ 45 $
1%
↓ 40 $
1%
↓ 35 $
1%
$17,116,264 Vol.
↑ 200 $
2%
↑ 175 $
5%
↑ 150 $
12%
↑ 140 $
19%
↑ 130 $
30%
↑ 120 $
47%
↑ 115 $
58%
↑ $110
67%
↑ $105
88%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
42%
↓ 80 $
36%
↓ 70 $
10%
↓ 60 $
5%
↓ 55 $
3%
↓ 52 $
2%
↓ 50 $
2%
↓ 47 $
2%
↓ 45 $
1%
↓ 40 $
1%
↓ 35 $
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions stemming from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict have driven significant supply disruptions, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and production shut-ins exceeding 5 million barrels per day, injecting a substantial risk premium into crude prices. WTI futures recently traded near $99 amid inventory draws projected by the EIA, though recent de-escalation signals triggered sharp pullbacks from May peaks above $106. OPEC+ lowered its 2026 global demand growth forecast to 1.17 million barrels per day while signaling a modest June output increase, tempering upside while summer driving season supports seasonal demand. Traders will closely monitor weekly EIA inventory releases and the June 7 OPEC+ meeting for clues on whether supply tightness persists through quarter-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes