The Democratic nominee in Connecticut's 1st congressional district holds a commanding position following the August 11 primary, where former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin defeated 14-term incumbent John Larson. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior presidential voting margins exceeding 20 points, underpins trader consensus around 93.5% for the party. Ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solidly Democratic even as an open contest. The Republican nominee advanced without opposition, limiting early general-election momentum. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national partisan shift or unusually high Republican turnout, though historical patterns in this Hartford-area district show limited volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCT-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CT-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$2,805 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$4,030 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee in Connecticut's 1st congressional district holds a commanding position following the August 11 primary, where former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin defeated 14-term incumbent John Larson. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior presidential voting margins exceeding 20 points, underpins trader consensus around 93.5% for the party. Ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solidly Democratic even as an open contest. The Republican nominee advanced without opposition, limiting early general-election momentum. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national partisan shift or unusually high Republican turnout, though historical patterns in this Hartford-area district show limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,835Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee in Connecticut's 1st congressional district holds a commanding position following the August 11 primary, where former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin defeated 14-term incumbent John Larson. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior presidential voting margins exceeding 20 points, underpins trader consensus around 93.5% for the party. Ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solidly Democratic even as an open contest. The Republican nominee advanced without opposition, limiting early general-election momentum. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national partisan shift or unusually high Republican turnout, though historical patterns in this Hartford-area district show limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,835Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee in Connecticut's 1st congressional district holds a commanding position following the August 11 primary, where former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin defeated 14-term incumbent John Larson. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior presidential voting margins exceeding 20 points, underpins trader consensus around 93.5% for the party. Ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solidly Democratic even as an open contest. The Republican nominee advanced without opposition, limiting early general-election momentum. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national partisan shift or unusually high Republican turnout, though historical patterns in this Hartford-area district show limited volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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