The fragmented odds for the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nominee reflect an open presidential field two years before the convention, with no clear ticket front-runner to anchor running-mate speculation. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to figures offering distinct balancing profiles—ideological range from progressives to moderates, geographic diversity across battleground states, and demographic appeal—yet no single contender exceeds low double digits. Consolidation could occur once primary voters and party delegates settle on a presidential nominee, narrowing the pool to candidates who complement that choice on policy priorities, Senate or gubernatorial experience, or coalition-building needs. Absent major endorsements, polling shifts, or early announcements, the market is likely to remain dispersed until the presidential race clarifies.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11%
Gretchen Whitmer 10.4%
Andy Beshear 7.8%
James Talarico 7.6%
$80,254 Vol.
$80,254 Vol.
Gavin Newsom
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
Pete Buttigieg
7%
Josh Shapiro
4%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
2%
Kamala Harris
3%
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Andy Beshear
8%
Jon Ossoff
6%
Mark Cuban
1%
J.B. Pritzker
5%
Raphael Warnock
3%
Cory Booker
1%
Tim Walz
4%
Michelle Obama
2%
Mark Kelly
3%
Rahm Emanuel
3%
Gina Raimondo
<1%
Zohran Mamdani
5%
Roy Cooper
4%
John Fetterman
2%
Jared Polis
6%
Jon Stewart
3%
Barack Obama
2%
Hillary Clinton
5%
Liz Cheney
1%
Bernie Sanders
4%
Phil Murphy
<1%
LeBron James
4%
Hunter Biden
3%
George Clooney
1%
Chelsea Clinton
4%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
3%
Andrew Yang
5%
Beto O’Rourke
4%
Kim Kardashian
6%
Chris Murphy
6%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Ro Khanna
5%
James Talarico
8%
Elissa Slotkin
3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11%
Gretchen Whitmer 10.4%
Andy Beshear 7.8%
James Talarico 7.6%
$80,254 Vol.
$80,254 Vol.
Gavin Newsom
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
Pete Buttigieg
7%
Josh Shapiro
4%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
2%
Kamala Harris
3%
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Andy Beshear
8%
Jon Ossoff
6%
Mark Cuban
1%
J.B. Pritzker
5%
Raphael Warnock
3%
Cory Booker
1%
Tim Walz
4%
Michelle Obama
2%
Mark Kelly
3%
Rahm Emanuel
3%
Gina Raimondo
<1%
Zohran Mamdani
5%
Roy Cooper
4%
John Fetterman
2%
Jared Polis
6%
Jon Stewart
3%
Barack Obama
2%
Hillary Clinton
5%
Liz Cheney
1%
Bernie Sanders
4%
Phil Murphy
<1%
LeBron James
4%
Hunter Biden
3%
George Clooney
1%
Chelsea Clinton
4%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
3%
Andrew Yang
5%
Beto O’Rourke
4%
Kim Kardashian
6%
Chris Murphy
6%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Ro Khanna
5%
James Talarico
8%
Elissa Slotkin
3%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented odds for the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nominee reflect an open presidential field two years before the convention, with no clear ticket front-runner to anchor running-mate speculation. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to figures offering distinct balancing profiles—ideological range from progressives to moderates, geographic diversity across battleground states, and demographic appeal—yet no single contender exceeds low double digits. Consolidation could occur once primary voters and party delegates settle on a presidential nominee, narrowing the pool to candidates who complement that choice on policy priorities, Senate or gubernatorial experience, or coalition-building needs. Absent major endorsements, polling shifts, or early announcements, the market is likely to remain dispersed until the presidential race clarifies.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes