Denmark’s minority coalition government, formed in June 2026 after the March snap election, operates under negative parliamentarism that requires only the absence of a majority opposition rather than affirmative support. Recent polling through mid-October shows the Social Democrats holding a lead amid a fragmented 12-party Folketing, yet no bloc commands a majority and no procedural deadlines or major crises have emerged to prompt early dissolution. The next regular election remains scheduled no later than March 2030, and Danish practice favors stability once a workable arrangement is reached. Trader consensus at 98.5 percent for “No” reflects this structural and temporal stability. A sudden collapse of the four-party accord, a successful no-confidence motion, or an unforeseen external shock such as renewed Greenland tensions could still shift odds, though none appear imminent within the December window.