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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Derwent Valley
Politique·Maire

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Derwent Valley

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Derwent Valley
Politique·Maire

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Derwent Valley

Michelle Dracoulis 63%

Jess Burns 13%

James Randall 6%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Michelle Dracoulis 63%

Jess Burns 13%

James Randall 6%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Michelle Dracoulis

Michelle Dracoulis

$100 Vol.

63%

icon for Jess Burns

Jess Burns

$24 Vol.

19%

icon for James Randall

James Randall

$44 Vol.

6%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Michelle Dracoulis, the incumbent mayor of Derwent Valley Council in Tasmania, holds the leading trader consensus at 62.5% for the October 27, 2026, local government election under the preferential voting system. Recent council actions, including budget measures that shifted the authority toward a projected surplus and the appointment of a new CEO after a national recruitment process, have strengthened her position following a failed November 2025 no-confidence motion. Limited public campaigns from challengers ahead of the September 21 nomination deadline keep probabilities for Jess Burns at 11% and James Randall at 6.5%, while numerous other listed candidates sit at 50% amid low visibility. These factors reflect trader assessments of incumbency advantages and governance outcomes in a closely watched Tasmanian mayoral contest.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$168
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Michelle Dracoulis, the incumbent mayor of Derwent Valley Council in Tasmania, holds the leading trader consensus at 62.5% for the October 27, 2026, local government election under the preferential voting system. Recent council actions, including budget measures that shifted the authority toward a projected surplus and the appointment of a new CEO after a national recruitment process, have strengthened her position following a failed November 2025 no-confidence motion. Limited public campaigns from challengers ahead of the September 21 nomination deadline keep probabilities for Jess Burns at 11% and James Randall at 6.5%, while numerous other listed candidates sit at 50% amid low visibility. These factors reflect trader assessments of incumbency advantages and governance outcomes in a closely watched Tasmanian mayoral contest.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$168
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

Connexes

icon for Matthew Garwood remportera-t-il la prochaine élection à la mairie de Launceston ?

Matthew Garwood remportera-t-il la prochaine élection à la mairie de Launceston ?

54%
Oui
icon for Rick Shegog remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de West Tamar ?

Rick Shegog remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de West Tamar ?

71%
Oui
icon for Bill Harvey remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Hobart ?

Bill Harvey remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Hobart ?

50%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Derwent Valley » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Michelle Dracoulis » à 63%, suivi de « Jess Burns » à 19%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 63¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 63% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Derwent Valley » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 3, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Derwent Valley », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Derwent Valley » est « Michelle Dracoulis » à 63%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 63% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Jess Burns » à 19%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Derwent Valley » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.