Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 86.4% implied probability for Sean "Diddy" Combs' release from custody in 2026, driven by his ongoing 50-month federal prison sentence at FCI Fort Dix for two counts of transportation to engage in prostitution, following convictions last summer and acquittal on more serious sex trafficking and racketeering charges. Bail requests have been repeatedly denied, including post-verdict, citing flight risk and violence concerns, with no successful appeals granting pretrial or post-conviction freedom. Recent Bureau of Prisons updates in March-April 2026 adjusted his projected release to mid-April 2028, accounting for good behavior credits, though an expedited Second Circuit appeal hearing looms as the key near-term catalyst amid high legal uncertainty in celebrity cases.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDiddy libéré de prison en 2026 ?
Diddy libéré de prison en 2026 ?
Oui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 86.4% implied probability for Sean "Diddy" Combs' release from custody in 2026, driven by his ongoing 50-month federal prison sentence at FCI Fort Dix for two counts of transportation to engage in prostitution, following convictions last summer and acquittal on more serious sex trafficking and racketeering charges. Bail requests have been repeatedly denied, including post-verdict, citing flight risk and violence concerns, with no successful appeals granting pretrial or post-conviction freedom. Recent Bureau of Prisons updates in March-April 2026 adjusted his projected release to mid-April 2028, accounting for good behavior credits, though an expedited Second Circuit appeal hearing looms as the key near-term catalyst amid high legal uncertainty in celebrity cases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
Volume
$1,719Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 86.4% implied probability for Sean "Diddy" Combs' release from custody in 2026, driven by his ongoing 50-month federal prison sentence at FCI Fort Dix for two counts of transportation to engage in prostitution, following convictions last summer and acquittal on more serious sex trafficking and racketeering charges. Bail requests have been repeatedly denied, including post-verdict, citing flight risk and violence concerns, with no successful appeals granting pretrial or post-conviction freedom. Recent Bureau of Prisons updates in March-April 2026 adjusted his projected release to mid-April 2028, accounting for good behavior credits, though an expedited Second Circuit appeal hearing looms as the key near-term catalyst amid high legal uncertainty in celebrity cases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,719Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 86.4% implied probability for Sean "Diddy" Combs' release from custody in 2026, driven by his ongoing 50-month federal prison sentence at FCI Fort Dix for two counts of transportation to engage in prostitution, following convictions last summer and acquittal on more serious sex trafficking and racketeering charges. Bail requests have been repeatedly denied, including post-verdict, citing flight risk and violence concerns, with no successful appeals granting pretrial or post-conviction freedom. Recent Bureau of Prisons updates in March-April 2026 adjusted his projected release to mid-April 2028, accounting for good behavior credits, though an expedited Second Circuit appeal hearing looms as the key near-term catalyst amid high legal uncertainty in celebrity cases.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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