Arsenal's commanding position atop the Premier League table with 79 points from 36 matches—two clear of Manchester City on 77—fuels trader consensus implying an 82% probability of Gunners lifting the title, underpinned by a superior goal difference of +42 and a kinder run-in featuring relegated Burnley at home followed by Crystal Palace. City's pursuit, priced at 19%, hinges on overturning the deficit amid a trickier schedule including an away trip to Bournemouth, despite their recent 2-1 Etihad triumph over Arsenal in April that briefly reignited the title race. Arsenal's gritty 1-0 victory at West Ham last weekend solidified the lead, even with Ben White sidelined by a knee injury, while Rodri's ongoing absence tests City's depth in the final sprint.