League of Legends holds a narrow lead in trader consensus at 57% implied probability for Esports Game of the Year, reflecting its status as 2025 defending champion alongside sustained global viewership and major international events like MSI. Counter-Strike 2 trails at 38% amid record-breaking tournament peaks and consistent ecosystem growth, while Valorant and several mobile titles cluster lower amid competitive fields. The bunched probabilities stem from fan-voted outcomes among a dozen nominees, recent roster successes in League and CS2 circuits, and the absence of a single dominant narrative shift in the weeks before November voting closes. Multiple titles maintain strong regional followings and production quality, keeping the race tight heading into the Miami ceremony.