Finland’s “Liekinheitin” stands as the clear pre-final frontrunner, yet the narrow gap between it and entries from Greece, Denmark and Australia keeps the margin-of-victory market tightly contested. Recent semi-final results and bookmaker consensus show Finland dominating jury and televote projections, but Eurovision’s split voting system routinely produces swings of 20–60 points on grand-final night. Boycotts by several nations have not shifted the top-tier order, while strong critical buzz around violin-driven pop and dance-floor anthems suggests a decisive yet not record-breaking finish. Traders price a 25–49 point victory highest because historical precedent and current polling align with moderate rather than landslide outcomes in a closely matched field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEurovision 2026: Margin of Victory
Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory
25-49 33%
50-74 24%
<25 21%
75-99 10%
$8,579 Vol.
$8,579 Vol.
16 mai 2026
<25
21%
25-49
33%
50-74
24%
75-99
10%
100-124
6%
125-149
5%
150+
6%
25-49 33%
50-74 24%
<25 21%
75-99 10%
$8,579 Vol.
$8,579 Vol.
16 mai 2026
<25
$754 Vol.
21%
25-49
$2,255 Vol.
33%
50-74
$793 Vol.
24%
75-99
$1,447 Vol.
10%
100-124
$1,004 Vol.
6%
125-149
$893 Vol.
5%
150+
$1,434 Vol.
6%
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland’s “Liekinheitin” stands as the clear pre-final frontrunner, yet the narrow gap between it and entries from Greece, Denmark and Australia keeps the margin-of-victory market tightly contested. Recent semi-final results and bookmaker consensus show Finland dominating jury and televote projections, but Eurovision’s split voting system routinely produces swings of 20–60 points on grand-final night. Boycotts by several nations have not shifted the top-tier order, while strong critical buzz around violin-driven pop and dance-floor anthems suggests a decisive yet not record-breaking finish. Traders price a 25–49 point victory highest because historical precedent and current polling align with moderate rather than landslide outcomes in a closely matched field.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Volume
$8,579Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland’s “Liekinheitin” stands as the clear pre-final frontrunner, yet the narrow gap between it and entries from Greece, Denmark and Australia keeps the margin-of-victory market tightly contested. Recent semi-final results and bookmaker consensus show Finland dominating jury and televote projections, but Eurovision’s split voting system routinely produces swings of 20–60 points on grand-final night. Boycotts by several nations have not shifted the top-tier order, while strong critical buzz around violin-driven pop and dance-floor anthems suggests a decisive yet not record-breaking finish. Traders price a 25–49 point victory highest because historical precedent and current polling align with moderate rather than landslide outcomes in a closely matched field.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$8,579Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Finland’s “Liekinheitin” stands as the clear pre-final frontrunner, yet the narrow gap between it and entries from Greece, Denmark and Australia keeps the margin-of-victory market tightly contested. Recent semi-final results and bookmaker consensus show Finland dominating jury and televote projections, but Eurovision’s split voting system routinely produces swings of 20–60 points on grand-final night. Boycotts by several nations have not shifted the top-tier order, while strong critical buzz around violin-driven pop and dance-floor anthems suggests a decisive yet not record-breaking finish. Traders price a 25–49 point victory highest because historical precedent and current polling align with moderate rather than landslide outcomes in a closely matched field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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