Bulgaria’s commanding 100% market-implied probability stems from its decisive victory in the 70th Eurovision Song Contest grand final held in Vienna on May 16–17. Dara’s upbeat party anthem “Bangaranga” swept both the professional jury and televote tallies with 516 points, delivering the nation its first-ever win through infectious choreography, strong vocal delivery, and broad appeal that resonated with voters across Europe. Historical patterns show that dominant jury-public alignment like this rarely faces late reversals once official results are confirmed. While an administrative recount or eligibility challenge remains theoretically possible before final ratification, such scenarios have not materialized in prior contests and would require unprecedented evidence to shift the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLauréat de l'Eurovision 2026
Albanie <1%
Autriche <1%
Belgique <1%
Croatie <1%
$193,902,263 Vol.
$193,902,263 Vol.

Albanie
<1%

Autriche
<1%

Belgique
<1%

Croatie
<1%

Tchéquie
<1%

France
<1%

Allemagne
<1%

Israël
<1%

Moldavie
<1%

Norvège
<1%

Suède
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Australie
<1%

Chypre
<1%

Danemark
<1%

Finlande
<1%

Grèce
<1%

Italie
<1%

Lituanie
<1%

Malte
<1%

Pologne
<1%

Roumanie
<1%

Serbie
<1%

Royaume-Uni
<1%
Albanie <1%
Autriche <1%
Belgique <1%
Croatie <1%
$193,902,263 Vol.
$193,902,263 Vol.

Albanie
<1%

Autriche
<1%

Belgique
<1%

Croatie
<1%

Tchéquie
<1%

France
<1%

Allemagne
<1%

Israël
<1%

Moldavie
<1%

Norvège
<1%

Suède
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Australie
<1%

Chypre
<1%

Danemark
<1%

Finlande
<1%

Grèce
<1%

Italie
<1%

Lituanie
<1%

Malte
<1%

Pologne
<1%

Roumanie
<1%

Serbie
<1%

Royaume-Uni
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Bulgaria’s commanding 100% market-implied probability stems from its decisive victory in the 70th Eurovision Song Contest grand final held in Vienna on May 16–17. Dara’s upbeat party anthem “Bangaranga” swept both the professional jury and televote tallies with 516 points, delivering the nation its first-ever win through infectious choreography, strong vocal delivery, and broad appeal that resonated with voters across Europe. Historical patterns show that dominant jury-public alignment like this rarely faces late reversals once official results are confirmed. While an administrative recount or eligibility challenge remains theoretically possible before final ratification, such scenarios have not materialized in prior contests and would require unprecedented evidence to shift the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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