Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges over Strait of Hormuz access have elevated the strategic profile of Persian Gulf islands, including Farsi Island, which hosts Iranian naval facilities. US Central Command strikes in July 2026 targeted Iranian coastal defenses, missile sites, and maritime assets at locations such as Abu Musa and Bandar Abbas to disrupt IRGC operations threatening commercial shipping. Iran has responded with assertions of sovereignty and attacks on vessels, while regional actors discuss joint measures to secure passage. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around whether further operations could alter control of smaller islands like Farsi before any resolution through diplomacy or escalation. Key upcoming factors include continued maritime interdiction risks and potential Gulf state coordination on waterway security.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourL'île Farsi n'est plus sous contrôle iranien par… ?
L'île Farsi n'est plus sous contrôle iranien par… ?
$168,199 Vol.
31 août 2026
31 août
1%
$168,199 Vol.
31 août
$159,307 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges over Strait of Hormuz access have elevated the strategic profile of Persian Gulf islands, including Farsi Island, which hosts Iranian naval facilities. US Central Command strikes in July 2026 targeted Iranian coastal defenses, missile sites, and maritime assets at locations such as Abu Musa and Bandar Abbas to disrupt IRGC operations threatening commercial shipping. Iran has responded with assertions of sovereignty and attacks on vessels, while regional actors discuss joint measures to secure passage. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around whether further operations could alter control of smaller islands like Farsi before any resolution through diplomacy or escalation. Key upcoming factors include continued maritime interdiction risks and potential Gulf state coordination on waterway security.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ET
Volume
$168,199Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges over Strait of Hormuz access have elevated the strategic profile of Persian Gulf islands, including Farsi Island, which hosts Iranian naval facilities. US Central Command strikes in July 2026 targeted Iranian coastal defenses, missile sites, and maritime assets at locations such as Abu Musa and Bandar Abbas to disrupt IRGC operations threatening commercial shipping. Iran has responded with assertions of sovereignty and attacks on vessels, while regional actors discuss joint measures to secure passage. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around whether further operations could alter control of smaller islands like Farsi before any resolution through diplomacy or escalation. Key upcoming factors include continued maritime interdiction risks and potential Gulf state coordination on waterway security.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$168,199Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges over Strait of Hormuz access have elevated the strategic profile of Persian Gulf islands, including Farsi Island, which hosts Iranian naval facilities. US Central Command strikes in July 2026 targeted Iranian coastal defenses, missile sites, and maritime assets at locations such as Abu Musa and Bandar Abbas to disrupt IRGC operations threatening commercial shipping. Iran has responded with assertions of sovereignty and attacks on vessels, while regional actors discuss joint measures to secure passage. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around whether further operations could alter control of smaller islands like Farsi before any resolution through diplomacy or escalation. Key upcoming factors include continued maritime interdiction risks and potential Gulf state coordination on waterway security.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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