Florida's 19th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has delivered Republican margins above 30 points in recent cycles, establishing the structural foundation for the 93.5% Republican implied probability. The seat opened after incumbent Byron Donalds opted to run for governor, prompting crowded Republican and Democratic primaries scheduled for August 18, yet all major forecasters continue to rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple GOP contenders have raised substantial funds, while Democratic options remain limited and untested at the congressional level. A national Democratic surge or primary-related controversy could narrow the gap, but the district's consistent partisan alignment and absence of competitive polling indicate limited realistic paths for an upset before November 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-19
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-19
$17,379 Vol.
$17,379 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
6%
$17,379 Vol.
$17,379 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$5,769 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$11,610 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has delivered Republican margins above 30 points in recent cycles, establishing the structural foundation for the 93.5% Republican implied probability. The seat opened after incumbent Byron Donalds opted to run for governor, prompting crowded Republican and Democratic primaries scheduled for August 18, yet all major forecasters continue to rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple GOP contenders have raised substantial funds, while Democratic options remain limited and untested at the congressional level. A national Democratic surge or primary-related controversy could narrow the gap, but the district's consistent partisan alignment and absence of competitive polling indicate limited realistic paths for an upset before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$17,379Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has delivered Republican margins above 30 points in recent cycles, establishing the structural foundation for the 93.5% Republican implied probability. The seat opened after incumbent Byron Donalds opted to run for governor, prompting crowded Republican and Democratic primaries scheduled for August 18, yet all major forecasters continue to rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple GOP contenders have raised substantial funds, while Democratic options remain limited and untested at the congressional level. A national Democratic surge or primary-related controversy could narrow the gap, but the district's consistent partisan alignment and absence of competitive polling indicate limited realistic paths for an upset before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,379Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 19th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has delivered Republican margins above 30 points in recent cycles, establishing the structural foundation for the 93.5% Republican implied probability. The seat opened after incumbent Byron Donalds opted to run for governor, prompting crowded Republican and Democratic primaries scheduled for August 18, yet all major forecasters continue to rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple GOP contenders have raised substantial funds, while Democratic options remain limited and untested at the congressional level. A national Democratic surge or primary-related controversy could narrow the gap, but the district's consistent partisan alignment and absence of competitive polling indicate limited realistic paths for an upset before November 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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