Florida's 28th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in forecaster ratings of Solid Republican or Safe Republican and the incumbent's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 14 points. Carlos Giménez, the sitting Republican representative, advanced automatically after the August 18 primary was canceled, facing Democrat Phil Ehr and an independent in the November 3 general election. The district's partisan voter index, recent presidential results favoring Republicans by roughly 6 points, and limited competitive polling sustain trader consensus around a 94-95% probability of a Republican victory. Structural advantages such as incumbency and fundraising further reinforce positioning, though late-cycle developments including turnout shifts in Miami-area and Keys precincts or unforeseen national dynamics could narrow margins in this otherwise stable contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-28
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-28
$57,344 Vol.
$57,344 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
95%
Parti démocrate
6%
$57,344 Vol.
$57,344 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$33,614 Vol.
95%
Parti démocrate
$23,731 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 28th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in forecaster ratings of Solid Republican or Safe Republican and the incumbent's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 14 points. Carlos Giménez, the sitting Republican representative, advanced automatically after the August 18 primary was canceled, facing Democrat Phil Ehr and an independent in the November 3 general election. The district's partisan voter index, recent presidential results favoring Republicans by roughly 6 points, and limited competitive polling sustain trader consensus around a 94-95% probability of a Republican victory. Structural advantages such as incumbency and fundraising further reinforce positioning, though late-cycle developments including turnout shifts in Miami-area and Keys precincts or unforeseen national dynamics could narrow margins in this otherwise stable contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$57,344Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 28th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in forecaster ratings of Solid Republican or Safe Republican and the incumbent's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 14 points. Carlos Giménez, the sitting Republican representative, advanced automatically after the August 18 primary was canceled, facing Democrat Phil Ehr and an independent in the November 3 general election. The district's partisan voter index, recent presidential results favoring Republicans by roughly 6 points, and limited competitive polling sustain trader consensus around a 94-95% probability of a Republican victory. Structural advantages such as incumbency and fundraising further reinforce positioning, though late-cycle developments including turnout shifts in Miami-area and Keys precincts or unforeseen national dynamics could narrow margins in this otherwise stable contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$57,344Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 28th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in forecaster ratings of Solid Republican or Safe Republican and the incumbent's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 14 points. Carlos Giménez, the sitting Republican representative, advanced automatically after the August 18 primary was canceled, facing Democrat Phil Ehr and an independent in the November 3 general election. The district's partisan voter index, recent presidential results favoring Republicans by roughly 6 points, and limited competitive polling sustain trader consensus around a 94-95% probability of a Republican victory. Structural advantages such as incumbency and fundraising further reinforce positioning, though late-cycle developments including turnout shifts in Miami-area and Keys precincts or unforeseen national dynamics could narrow margins in this otherwise stable contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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