Florida's entrenched Republican advantage in voter registration and statewide voting patterns since the mid-1990s underpins the 79% trader consensus for a Republican governor in the November 2026 election. Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in the August 18 Republican primary, backed by President Trump's endorsement and recent polls showing him at 46-54% support against single-digit challengers including Jay Collins and James Fishback. General-election matchups place Donalds ahead of leading Democrats such as David Jolly by 4-7 points in April surveys, reflecting Florida's 13-point Republican margin in the 2024 presidential contest and sustained party momentum ahead of the primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$18,222 Vol.
$18,222 Vol.

Républicain
79%

Démocrate
19%
$18,222 Vol.
$18,222 Vol.

Républicain
79%

Démocrate
19%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's entrenched Republican advantage in voter registration and statewide voting patterns since the mid-1990s underpins the 79% trader consensus for a Republican governor in the November 2026 election. Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in the August 18 Republican primary, backed by President Trump's endorsement and recent polls showing him at 46-54% support against single-digit challengers including Jay Collins and James Fishback. General-election matchups place Donalds ahead of leading Democrats such as David Jolly by 4-7 points in April surveys, reflecting Florida's 13-point Republican margin in the 2024 presidential contest and sustained party momentum ahead of the primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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