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Politique·Canada

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale du Grand Sudbury, ON

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection municipale du Grand Sudbury, ON
Politique·Canada

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale du Grand Sudbury, ON

Paul Lefebvre 81%

Miranda Rocca-Circelli 8%

Joseph Boutros 2.1%

Rodney Newton <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Paul Lefebvre 81%

Miranda Rocca-Circelli 8%

Joseph Boutros 2.1%

Rodney Newton <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Paul Lefebvre

Paul Lefebvre

$1,039 Vol.

81%

icon for Miranda Rocca-Circelli

Miranda Rocca-Circelli

$4,284 Vol.

8%

icon for Joseph Boutros

Joseph Boutros

$176 Vol.

2%

icon for Rodney Newton

Rodney Newton

$184 Vol.

1%

icon for Keenan Menard

Keenan Menard

$188 Vol.

1%

icon for Michael McIntosh

Michael McIntosh

$168 Vol.

1%

icon for Troy Crowder

Troy Crowder

$180 Vol.

1%

icon for Bob Johnston

Bob Johnston

$166 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Greater Sudbury, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.**Incumbent Paul Lefebvre holds a dominant position in the October 26, 2026, Greater Sudbury mayoral race.** As the sitting mayor first elected in 2022, he benefits from high name recognition, a record of advancing projects such as the downtown events centre and mining-related infrastructure, and recent indicators of local economic momentum including strong construction activity and labour market rankings. Nominations closed in late August with eight candidates registered, but challengers including Miranda Rocca-Circelli (who placed third in 2022), Bob Johnston, Joseph Boutros, Rodney Newton, Keenan Menard, Michael McIntosh, and Troy Crowder have not generated comparable visibility or organizational support. Trader pricing reflects this incumbency advantage and limited evidence of a serious contest, while noting that late-campaign developments or turnout patterns could still influence the final outcome before voting day.

The 2026 Greater Sudbury, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.
Volume
$6,384
Date de fin
26 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 2:35 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Greater Sudbury, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.
The 2026 Greater Sudbury, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.**Incumbent Paul Lefebvre holds a dominant position in the October 26, 2026, Greater Sudbury mayoral race.** As the sitting mayor first elected in 2022, he benefits from high name recognition, a record of advancing projects such as the downtown events centre and mining-related infrastructure, and recent indicators of local economic momentum including strong construction activity and labour market rankings. Nominations closed in late August with eight candidates registered, but challengers including Miranda Rocca-Circelli (who placed third in 2022), Bob Johnston, Joseph Boutros, Rodney Newton, Keenan Menard, Michael McIntosh, and Troy Crowder have not generated comparable visibility or organizational support. Trader pricing reflects this incumbency advantage and limited evidence of a serious contest, while noting that late-campaign developments or turnout patterns could still influence the final outcome before voting day.

The 2026 Greater Sudbury, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.
Volume
$6,384
Date de fin
26 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 2:35 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Greater Sudbury, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.

Connexes

icon for Moe Comuzzi remportera-t-elle l'élection du maire de Thunder Bay en 2026 ?

Moe Comuzzi remportera-t-elle l'élection du maire de Thunder Bay en 2026 ?

25%
Oui
icon for Rob Burton va-t-il gagner l'élection du maire d'Oakville en 2026 ?

Rob Burton va-t-il gagner l'élection du maire d'Oakville en 2026 ?

53%
Oui
icon for Martin Ritsma gagnera-t-il l'élection municipale de Stratford en 2026 ?

Martin Ritsma gagnera-t-il l'élection municipale de Stratford en 2026 ?

53%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale du Grand Sudbury, ON » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Paul Lefebvre » à 81%, suivi de « Miranda Rocca-Circelli » à 8%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 81¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 81% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale du Grand Sudbury, ON » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 24, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale du Grand Sudbury, ON », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale du Grand Sudbury, ON » est « Paul Lefebvre » à 81%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 81% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Miranda Rocca-Circelli » à 8%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale du Grand Sudbury, ON » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.