Trader consensus heavily favors no further postponement of GTA 6's November 19, 2026 launch date at 77.5% implied probability for "No," driven by Rockstar Games' and Take-Two Interactive's steadfast affirmations since the second delay announcement in November 2025, with no verified updates signaling additional slips. Recent hype from leaked Best Buy pre-order intel—potentially live as early as May 18—and anticipation for Take-Two's fiscal year 2026 earnings call on May 21 have bolstered confidence, as any delay would likely surface there amid trailer 3 rumors. Absent new development hurdles or official statements, the market reflects skin-in-the-game optimism that Rockstar is on track after prior shifts from fall 2025 and May 2026 windows, though earnings remain a pivotal catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$279,981 Vol.
$279,981 Vol.
Oui
$279,981 Vol.
$279,981 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no further postponement of GTA 6's November 19, 2026 launch date at 77.5% implied probability for "No," driven by Rockstar Games' and Take-Two Interactive's steadfast affirmations since the second delay announcement in November 2025, with no verified updates signaling additional slips. Recent hype from leaked Best Buy pre-order intel—potentially live as early as May 18—and anticipation for Take-Two's fiscal year 2026 earnings call on May 21 have bolstered confidence, as any delay would likely surface there amid trailer 3 rumors. Absent new development hurdles or official statements, the market reflects skin-in-the-game optimism that Rockstar is on track after prior shifts from fall 2025 and May 2026 windows, though earnings remain a pivotal catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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