A May 2026 cluster of Andes hantavirus cases aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship, involving roughly 13 confirmed or probable infections and three deaths from hantavirus pulmonary syndrome, temporarily elevated visibility but reinforced market confidence against a 2026 pandemic. Official assessments from the WHO, CDC, and ECDC classify global risk as low to very low, citing the virus’s primary rodent-borne zoonotic transmission and Andes’ requirement for close, prolonged human contact to enable limited person-to-person spread. No sustained community transmission chains or evidence of enhanced airborne efficiency have emerged from genomic sequencing or epidemiological tracing. Historical patterns show hantavirus outbreaks remain focal and self-limiting absent major ecological shifts favoring rodent reservoirs. While mutation enabling broader aerosol transmission remains a theoretical tail risk, current surveillance data and containment measures support the 96% market-implied probability that no pandemic threshold will be crossed this year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPandémie d'hantavirus en 2026 ?
Pandémie d'hantavirus en 2026 ?
Oui
$15,819,447 Vol.
$15,819,447 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$15,819,447 Vol.
$15,819,447 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A May 2026 cluster of Andes hantavirus cases aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship, involving roughly 13 confirmed or probable infections and three deaths from hantavirus pulmonary syndrome, temporarily elevated visibility but reinforced market confidence against a 2026 pandemic. Official assessments from the WHO, CDC, and ECDC classify global risk as low to very low, citing the virus’s primary rodent-borne zoonotic transmission and Andes’ requirement for close, prolonged human contact to enable limited person-to-person spread. No sustained community transmission chains or evidence of enhanced airborne efficiency have emerged from genomic sequencing or epidemiological tracing. Historical patterns show hantavirus outbreaks remain focal and self-limiting absent major ecological shifts favoring rodent reservoirs. While mutation enabling broader aerosol transmission remains a theoretical tail risk, current surveillance data and containment measures support the 96% market-implied probability that no pandemic threshold will be crossed this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
Volume
$15,819,447Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A May 2026 cluster of Andes hantavirus cases aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship, involving roughly 13 confirmed or probable infections and three deaths from hantavirus pulmonary syndrome, temporarily elevated visibility but reinforced market confidence against a 2026 pandemic. Official assessments from the WHO, CDC, and ECDC classify global risk as low to very low, citing the virus’s primary rodent-borne zoonotic transmission and Andes’ requirement for close, prolonged human contact to enable limited person-to-person spread. No sustained community transmission chains or evidence of enhanced airborne efficiency have emerged from genomic sequencing or epidemiological tracing. Historical patterns show hantavirus outbreaks remain focal and self-limiting absent major ecological shifts favoring rodent reservoirs. While mutation enabling broader aerosol transmission remains a theoretical tail risk, current surveillance data and containment measures support the 96% market-implied probability that no pandemic threshold will be crossed this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,819,447Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A May 2026 cluster of Andes hantavirus cases aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship, involving roughly 13 confirmed or probable infections and three deaths from hantavirus pulmonary syndrome, temporarily elevated visibility but reinforced market confidence against a 2026 pandemic. Official assessments from the WHO, CDC, and ECDC classify global risk as low to very low, citing the virus’s primary rodent-borne zoonotic transmission and Andes’ requirement for close, prolonged human contact to enable limited person-to-person spread. No sustained community transmission chains or evidence of enhanced airborne efficiency have emerged from genomic sequencing or epidemiological tracing. Historical patterns show hantavirus outbreaks remain focal and self-limiting absent major ecological shifts favoring rodent reservoirs. While mutation enabling broader aerosol transmission remains a theoretical tail risk, current surveillance data and containment measures support the 96% market-implied probability that no pandemic threshold will be crossed this year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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