Trader consensus reflects the extremely low pandemic potential of hantavirus, driven by its primary rodent-to-human transmission route and the Andes strain’s requirement for prolonged close contact to enable limited person-to-person spread. Official CDC and WHO data confirm the 2026 MV Hondius cluster produced roughly a dozen cases with three deaths before containment through quarantines and tracing ended sustained chains, with no U.S. community transmission observed after the 42-day monitoring window. As of mid-September 2026, authorities assess global risk as low, consistent with historical patterns of sporadic, non-sustained clusters rather than exponential growth. Realistic shifts could arise from undetected widespread exposure or viral changes enhancing transmissibility, though current surveillance shows no such developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPandémie d'hantavirus en 2026 ?
Pandémie d'hantavirus en 2026 ?
Oui
3% chance
$18,256,139 Vol.
$18,256,139 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
3% chance
$18,256,139 Vol.
$18,256,139 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects the extremely low pandemic potential of hantavirus, driven by its primary rodent-to-human transmission route and the Andes strain’s requirement for prolonged close contact to enable limited person-to-person spread. Official CDC and WHO data confirm the 2026 MV Hondius cluster produced roughly a dozen cases with three deaths before containment through quarantines and tracing ended sustained chains, with no U.S. community transmission observed after the 42-day monitoring window. As of mid-September 2026, authorities assess global risk as low, consistent with historical patterns of sporadic, non-sustained clusters rather than exponential growth. Realistic shifts could arise from undetected widespread exposure or viral changes enhancing transmissibility, though current surveillance shows no such developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
Volume
$18,256,139Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects the extremely low pandemic potential of hantavirus, driven by its primary rodent-to-human transmission route and the Andes strain’s requirement for prolonged close contact to enable limited person-to-person spread. Official CDC and WHO data confirm the 2026 MV Hondius cluster produced roughly a dozen cases with three deaths before containment through quarantines and tracing ended sustained chains, with no U.S. community transmission observed after the 42-day monitoring window. As of mid-September 2026, authorities assess global risk as low, consistent with historical patterns of sporadic, non-sustained clusters rather than exponential growth. Realistic shifts could arise from undetected widespread exposure or viral changes enhancing transmissibility, though current surveillance shows no such developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,256,139Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects the extremely low pandemic potential of hantavirus, driven by its primary rodent-to-human transmission route and the Andes strain’s requirement for prolonged close contact to enable limited person-to-person spread. Official CDC and WHO data confirm the 2026 MV Hondius cluster produced roughly a dozen cases with three deaths before containment through quarantines and tracing ended sustained chains, with no U.S. community transmission observed after the 42-day monitoring window. As of mid-September 2026, authorities assess global risk as low, consistent with historical patterns of sporadic, non-sustained clusters rather than exponential growth. Realistic shifts could arise from undetected widespread exposure or viral changes enhancing transmissibility, though current surveillance shows no such developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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