Google's Gemini models trail the Humanity's Last Exam leaderboard as of mid-September 2026, with Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.8 Flash posting scores near 47-48% while Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 leads at 59%. The gap reflects Anthropic's stronger recent reasoning-focused releases and iterative scaling on expert-level questions spanning mathematics, physics, and biology. Google's competitive positioning depends on further Gemini 3.x iterations or a major 4.0-class model before year-end, as the benchmark's design leaves substantial headroom above current frontier performance. Traders watch for official Google DeepMind announcements, benchmark submissions, and any multimodal or tool-use enhancements that could close the deficit ahead of potential late-2026 model drops.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$92,724 Vol.
50 %+
90%
55 %+
40%
60 %+
21%
65 % ou plus
12%
70 %+
4%
$92,724 Vol.
50 %+
90%
55 %+
40%
60 %+
21%
65 % ou plus
12%
70 %+
4%
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Marché ouvert : Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Google's Gemini models trail the Humanity's Last Exam leaderboard as of mid-September 2026, with Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.8 Flash posting scores near 47-48% while Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 leads at 59%. The gap reflects Anthropic's stronger recent reasoning-focused releases and iterative scaling on expert-level questions spanning mathematics, physics, and biology. Google's competitive positioning depends on further Gemini 3.x iterations or a major 4.0-class model before year-end, as the benchmark's design leaves substantial headroom above current frontier performance. Traders watch for official Google DeepMind announcements, benchmark submissions, and any multimodal or tool-use enhancements that could close the deficit ahead of potential late-2026 model drops.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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