xAI's Grok 4.7, released September 21 with 2.1 trillion parameters and supplemental SpaceX training, posted 43.1% on Artificial Analysis HLE, trailing Claude Fable 5.1's 59.1% lead and GPT-6 Astra's 45.8%. Earlier 2025 Grok 4 Heavy reached 50.7% under multi-agent setups, but current frontier versions lag Anthropic's consistent top rankings across closed-book and tool-assisted runs. Frequent xAI releases—Grok 4.6 in August and ongoing reinforcement learning—signal efforts to close the gap in reasoning depth before year-end, though historical delays and benchmark gaps suggest Anthropic and OpenAI models will likely set the 2026 high unless major capability jumps materialize.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$120,872 Vol.
45 %+
80%
50 %+
48%
55 % +
34%
60 % +
20%
65 %+
4%
$120,872 Vol.
45 %+
80%
50 %+
48%
55 % +
34%
60 % +
20%
65 %+
4%
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Marché ouvert : Jul 23, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://agi.safe.ai/Résolveur
0x65070BE91...For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Source de résolution
https://agi.safe.ai/Résolveur
0x65070BE91...xAI's Grok 4.7, released September 21 with 2.1 trillion parameters and supplemental SpaceX training, posted 43.1% on Artificial Analysis HLE, trailing Claude Fable 5.1's 59.1% lead and GPT-6 Astra's 45.8%. Earlier 2025 Grok 4 Heavy reached 50.7% under multi-agent setups, but current frontier versions lag Anthropic's consistent top rankings across closed-book and tool-assisted runs. Frequent xAI releases—Grok 4.6 in August and ongoing reinforcement learning—signal efforts to close the gap in reasoning depth before year-end, though historical delays and benchmark gaps suggest Anthropic and OpenAI models will likely set the 2026 high unless major capability jumps materialize.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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