Traders are pricing 35°C and 36°C as the most likely highs for Guangzhou on July 10 because short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration currently converge on maximum temperatures in that narrow range amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. Persistent influence from the western Pacific subtropical high is supporting warm, humid air advection from the South China Sea, while moderate southwesterly flow and afternoon convective development introduce uncertainty: scattered thunderstorms can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, potentially capping the daily maximum at 35°C, whereas stronger subsidence or delayed convection could allow readings to reach 36°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, consistent with historical July variability where daily highs average near 32–33°C but frequently reach 35–36°C under comparable synoptic setups. Updated CMA and global model runs expected on July 9 will likely refine the precise threshold by clarifying precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Guangzhou on July 10?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 10?
35°C 29%
36°C 26%
34°C 22%
37°C 14%
NOUVEAU
$40,466 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$40,466 Vol.
10 juil. 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
9%
34°C
22%
35°C
29%
36°C
26%
37°C
14%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 29%
36°C 26%
34°C 22%
37°C 14%
NOUVEAU
$40,466 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$40,466 Vol.
10 juil. 2026
29°C or below
$1,876 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$652 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,573 Vol.
1%
32°C
$3,793 Vol.
1%
33°C
$2,030 Vol.
9%
34°C
$3,246 Vol.
22%
35°C
$2,173 Vol.
29%
36°C
$5,058 Vol.
26%
37°C
$6,019 Vol.
14%
38°C
$8,735 Vol.
4%
39°C or higher
$4,312 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing 35°C and 36°C as the most likely highs for Guangzhou on July 10 because short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration currently converge on maximum temperatures in that narrow range amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. Persistent influence from the western Pacific subtropical high is supporting warm, humid air advection from the South China Sea, while moderate southwesterly flow and afternoon convective development introduce uncertainty: scattered thunderstorms can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, potentially capping the daily maximum at 35°C, whereas stronger subsidence or delayed convection could allow readings to reach 36°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, consistent with historical July variability where daily highs average near 32–33°C but frequently reach 35–36°C under comparable synoptic setups. Updated CMA and global model runs expected on July 9 will likely refine the precise threshold by clarifying precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$40,466Date de fin
10 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing 35°C and 36°C as the most likely highs for Guangzhou on July 10 because short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration currently converge on maximum temperatures in that narrow range amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. Persistent influence from the western Pacific subtropical high is supporting warm, humid air advection from the South China Sea, while moderate southwesterly flow and afternoon convective development introduce uncertainty: scattered thunderstorms can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, potentially capping the daily maximum at 35°C, whereas stronger subsidence or delayed convection could allow readings to reach 36°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, consistent with historical July variability where daily highs average near 32–33°C but frequently reach 35–36°C under comparable synoptic setups. Updated CMA and global model runs expected on July 9 will likely refine the precise threshold by clarifying precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40,466Date de fin
10 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing 35°C and 36°C as the most likely highs for Guangzhou on July 10 because short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration currently converge on maximum temperatures in that narrow range amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. Persistent influence from the western Pacific subtropical high is supporting warm, humid air advection from the South China Sea, while moderate southwesterly flow and afternoon convective development introduce uncertainty: scattered thunderstorms can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, potentially capping the daily maximum at 35°C, whereas stronger subsidence or delayed convection could allow readings to reach 36°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, consistent with historical July variability where daily highs average near 32–33°C but frequently reach 35–36°C under comparable synoptic setups. Updated CMA and global model runs expected on July 9 will likely refine the precise threshold by clarifying precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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