Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles show the highest temperature in Milan on July 10 most likely falling between 32–33°C, with slight market preference for the upper end reflecting modest warming signals in the latest ECMWF and GFS runs. A broad high-pressure ridge over the western Mediterranean is expected to promote subsidence and clear skies across the Po Valley, yet variable low-level winds and possible nocturnal cooling from the Alps introduce spread in maximum readings at the Malpensa station. Historical July maxima average near 29–30°C, so current conditions represent an above-normal but not extreme episode; model differences center on the precise strength of the ridge and any weak frontal passage. Traders are closely watching the next 48-hour model cycles and regional nowcasts for refinements ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on July 10?
33°C 40%
34°C 36%
32°C 11%
35°C 6.8%
$34,026 Vol.
$34,026 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
11%
33°C
40%
34°C
36%
35°C
7%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 40%
34°C 36%
32°C 11%
35°C 6.8%
$34,026 Vol.
$34,026 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
11%
33°C
40%
34°C
36%
35°C
7%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles show the highest temperature in Milan on July 10 most likely falling between 32–33°C, with slight market preference for the upper end reflecting modest warming signals in the latest ECMWF and GFS runs. A broad high-pressure ridge over the western Mediterranean is expected to promote subsidence and clear skies across the Po Valley, yet variable low-level winds and possible nocturnal cooling from the Alps introduce spread in maximum readings at the Malpensa station. Historical July maxima average near 29–30°C, so current conditions represent an above-normal but not extreme episode; model differences center on the precise strength of the ridge and any weak frontal passage. Traders are closely watching the next 48-hour model cycles and regional nowcasts for refinements ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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