Forecast ensembles from major models highlight variable Atlantic air mass advection and lingering cloud cover with scattered showers as the main drivers keeping July 10 Moscow highs clustered in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25–27°C outcomes. Daytime solar heating will depend on breaks in overcast conditions and any convective development, while climatological baselines for early July average near 22–24°C. The tight spread across 24–28°C reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in peak timing and local boundary-layer mixing, with fresh model runs and observational updates from Russian meteorological services likely to sharpen resolution probabilities before the market settles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Moscow on July 10?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 10?
27°C 36%
28°C 32.8%
26°C 19%
29°C 8.0%
NOUVEAU
$21,698 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$21,698 Vol.
10 juil. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
19%
27°C
36%
28°C
33%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 36%
28°C 32.8%
26°C 19%
29°C 8.0%
NOUVEAU
$21,698 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$21,698 Vol.
10 juil. 2026
22°C or below
$2,309 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,641 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,790 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2,291 Vol.
5%
26°C
$2,097 Vol.
19%
27°C
$2,667 Vol.
36%
28°C
$3,015 Vol.
33%
29°C
$1,633 Vol.
8%
30°C
$1,315 Vol.
3%
31°C
$2,670 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$270 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast ensembles from major models highlight variable Atlantic air mass advection and lingering cloud cover with scattered showers as the main drivers keeping July 10 Moscow highs clustered in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25–27°C outcomes. Daytime solar heating will depend on breaks in overcast conditions and any convective development, while climatological baselines for early July average near 22–24°C. The tight spread across 24–28°C reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in peak timing and local boundary-layer mixing, with fresh model runs and observational updates from Russian meteorological services likely to sharpen resolution probabilities before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$21,698Date de fin
10 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast ensembles from major models highlight variable Atlantic air mass advection and lingering cloud cover with scattered showers as the main drivers keeping July 10 Moscow highs clustered in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25–27°C outcomes. Daytime solar heating will depend on breaks in overcast conditions and any convective development, while climatological baselines for early July average near 22–24°C. The tight spread across 24–28°C reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in peak timing and local boundary-layer mixing, with fresh model runs and observational updates from Russian meteorological services likely to sharpen resolution probabilities before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,698Date de fin
10 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast ensembles from major models highlight variable Atlantic air mass advection and lingering cloud cover with scattered showers as the main drivers keeping July 10 Moscow highs clustered in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25–27°C outcomes. Daytime solar heating will depend on breaks in overcast conditions and any convective development, while climatological baselines for early July average near 22–24°C. The tight spread across 24–28°C reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in peak timing and local boundary-layer mixing, with fresh model runs and observational updates from Russian meteorological services likely to sharpen resolution probabilities before the market settles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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