Trader consensus around 88–91°F for NYC’s July 10 high reflects National Weather Service and private model guidance pointing to a warm, humid summer day with afternoon temperatures peaking near or slightly above the seasonal average of 85°F. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread, with steering flow and boundary-layer moisture supporting highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, while variable cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any late-day convection introduce the main uncertainty between the tightly bunched 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins. Above-normal July warmth across the Northeast, driven by persistent ridging, underpins the modest probability mass above 92°F, yet the narrow distribution of outcomes highlights how small shifts in insolation or urban heat-island effects can decide the precise daily maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in NYC on July 10?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 10?
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 29%
86-87°F 19%
92-93°F 10%
NOUVEAU
$13,312 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,312 Vol.
10 juil. 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
29%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 29%
86-87°F 19%
92-93°F 10%
NOUVEAU
$13,312 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,312 Vol.
10 juil. 2026
79°F or below
$73 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$998 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$898 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$806 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$1,800 Vol.
19%
88-89°F
$2,472 Vol.
39%
90-91°F
$1,684 Vol.
29%
92-93°F
$2,360 Vol.
10%
94-95°F
$1,317 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$472 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$433 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 88–91°F for NYC’s July 10 high reflects National Weather Service and private model guidance pointing to a warm, humid summer day with afternoon temperatures peaking near or slightly above the seasonal average of 85°F. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread, with steering flow and boundary-layer moisture supporting highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, while variable cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any late-day convection introduce the main uncertainty between the tightly bunched 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins. Above-normal July warmth across the Northeast, driven by persistent ridging, underpins the modest probability mass above 92°F, yet the narrow distribution of outcomes highlights how small shifts in insolation or urban heat-island effects can decide the precise daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$13,312Date de fin
10 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 88–91°F for NYC’s July 10 high reflects National Weather Service and private model guidance pointing to a warm, humid summer day with afternoon temperatures peaking near or slightly above the seasonal average of 85°F. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread, with steering flow and boundary-layer moisture supporting highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, while variable cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any late-day convection introduce the main uncertainty between the tightly bunched 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins. Above-normal July warmth across the Northeast, driven by persistent ridging, underpins the modest probability mass above 92°F, yet the narrow distribution of outcomes highlights how small shifts in insolation or urban heat-island effects can decide the precise daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,312Date de fin
10 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 88–91°F for NYC’s July 10 high reflects National Weather Service and private model guidance pointing to a warm, humid summer day with afternoon temperatures peaking near or slightly above the seasonal average of 85°F. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread, with steering flow and boundary-layer moisture supporting highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, while variable cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any late-day convection introduce the main uncertainty between the tightly bunched 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins. Above-normal July warmth across the Northeast, driven by persistent ridging, underpins the modest probability mass above 92°F, yet the narrow distribution of outcomes highlights how small shifts in insolation or urban heat-island effects can decide the precise daily maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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