Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on July 10 point to a daily high near 31–33°C as the dominant driver of market odds, reflecting typical early-July conditions as the East Asian monsoon rainy season tapers. Model consensus highlights modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly flow, while variable afternoon convective activity and humidity levels create the narrow spread among 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C outcomes. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration notes that brief showers or thicker cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, whereas clearer intervals would favor the upper end of that range. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term model runs remain the key variable traders monitor ahead of final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 10?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 10?
32°C 43%
33°C 29%
31°C 21%
34°C 7.9%
NOUVEAU
$65,178 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$65,178 Vol.
10 juil. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
21%
32°C
43%
33°C
29%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 43%
33°C 29%
31°C 21%
34°C 7.9%
NOUVEAU
$65,178 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$65,178 Vol.
10 juil. 2026
26°C or below
$1,825 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,331 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,511 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,863 Vol.
1%
30°C
$9,110 Vol.
3%
31°C
$8,821 Vol.
21%
32°C
$5,981 Vol.
43%
33°C
$7,777 Vol.
29%
34°C
$5,837 Vol.
8%
35°C
$6,258 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$6,278 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on July 10 point to a daily high near 31–33°C as the dominant driver of market odds, reflecting typical early-July conditions as the East Asian monsoon rainy season tapers. Model consensus highlights modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly flow, while variable afternoon convective activity and humidity levels create the narrow spread among 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C outcomes. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration notes that brief showers or thicker cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, whereas clearer intervals would favor the upper end of that range. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term model runs remain the key variable traders monitor ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$65,178Date de fin
10 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on July 10 point to a daily high near 31–33°C as the dominant driver of market odds, reflecting typical early-July conditions as the East Asian monsoon rainy season tapers. Model consensus highlights modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly flow, while variable afternoon convective activity and humidity levels create the narrow spread among 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C outcomes. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration notes that brief showers or thicker cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, whereas clearer intervals would favor the upper end of that range. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term model runs remain the key variable traders monitor ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65,178Date de fin
10 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on July 10 point to a daily high near 31–33°C as the dominant driver of market odds, reflecting typical early-July conditions as the East Asian monsoon rainy season tapers. Model consensus highlights modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly flow, while variable afternoon convective activity and humidity levels create the narrow spread among 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C outcomes. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration notes that brief showers or thicker cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, whereas clearer intervals would favor the upper end of that range. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term model runs remain the key variable traders monitor ahead of final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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